Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 14 - Round 18

Date: 18 January 2026, Sunday


	Gévora		Llerenense

	1	X	2
	2.78	2.98	2.42
	2.91	3.01	2.43	Watch
	2.7	3	2.45
	2.75	3.25	2.51
	2.9	2.9	2.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.81 ↓ (2.9)	3.03 ↓ (3.15)	2.45 ↑ (2.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gévora
32.5%

Draw
30.2%

Llerenense
37.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.4%

28.9%

39.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.1%

27.7%

41.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gévora has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Llerenense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gévora than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Llerenense than the current prediction. (+4%)

Gévora - Llerenense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
11', 0 - 1, Peguero G. ⚽,
22', 0 - 2, Benjumea E. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
50', 1 - 2, Josito ⚽,

Preview

A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 15 and 13)

Gévora has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).

In recent matches, Llerenense has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Llerenense	4	3	1	0	3:0	3	10
6	Gevora	5	2	2	1	8:9	-1	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Gévora
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
11.01.26	Gévora - Badajoz	0:3 ✺
04.01.26	Pueblonuevo - Gévora	1:1 ✺
21.12.25	Gévora - Montijo	1:3 ✺
14.12.25	Moralo - Gévora	2:1 ✺
07.12.25	Gévora - Diocesano	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 LTLLT
- AD Llerenense
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
11.01.26	Calamonte - Llerenense	0:2 ✺
04.01.26	Llerenense - Puebla de la Calzada	1:0 ✺
20.12.25	Jaraíz - Llerenense	1:1 ✺
07.12.25	Villanovense - Llerenense	1:0 ✺
23.11.25	Llerenense - Cabeza del Buey	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WWTLL

Gévora - Llerenense: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide