Match Info
Tercera RFEF - Group 14 - Round 30Date: 12 April 2026, Sunday
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Llerenense |
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Villanovense |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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2.42 |
2.88 |
2.88 |
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2.43 |
2.88 |
2.89 |
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2.47 |
2.92 |
2.95 |
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2.45 |
2.75 |
2.9 |
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2.42 |
2.88 |
2.95 |
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Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.44 ↓ (2.46) |
2.86 ↓ (2.86) |
2.91 ↓ (2.92) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
- The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Llerenense 37.2% | Draw 31.7% | Villanovense 31.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Llerenense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)The chances for Villanovense have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Llerenense than the current prediction. (+0.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Villanovense than the current prediction. (-0.8%)Llerenense - Villanovense Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 15', 0 - 1, Angelito ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 60', 0 - 2, Munoz O. ⚽,
Preview
This time weโll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 11 and 8).Llerenense has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).Villanovense has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins โ 2).Villanovense may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days. In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Llerenense won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 0:4. (average 0:1).Including home match between the teams, Llerenense won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 3 | Llerenense | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 10 |
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| 8 | Villanovense | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5:4 | 1 | 7 |
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Last Results with these Odds
Villanovense - the odds 2.92 are the expected chance of winning is 31.14%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;