Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 14 - Round 31

Date: 19 April 2026, Sunday


	Gévora		Moralo

	1	X	2
	4.25	3.4	1.72
	4.51	3.38	1.68
	4.24	3.31	1.84	Watch
	4.6	3.2	1.73
	4.94	3.42	1.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.51 ↑ (3.25)	3.34 ↑ (3.25)	1.72 ↓ (2.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gévora
20.1%

Draw
27.2%

Moralo
52.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28%

27.9%

44.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.3%

28.2%

43.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gévora has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Gévora's form might have worsened.

Moralo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Moralo's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gévora than the current prediction. (+8.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Gévora, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Moralo than the current prediction. (-9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Moralo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Gévora - Moralo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
30', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
59', 1 - 1, ⚽,
90+7', 🟥,
90+8', 2 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 15 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 14 (Play Offs: )).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Moralo is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Gévora won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Moralo	5	3	2	0	9:5	4	11
6	Gevora	5	2	2	1	8:9	-1	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Gévora
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
12.04.26	Diocesano - Gévora	2:1 ✺
03.04.26	Gévora - Villafranca	2:0 ✺
29.03.26	Don Benito - Gévora	2:0 ✺
22.03.26	Gévora - Santa Amalia	3:0 ✺
15.03.26	Azuaga - Gévora	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 LWLWL
- Moralo CP
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
12.04.26	Moralo - Calamonte	1:1 ✺
02.04.26	Puebla de la Calzada - Moralo	1:1 ✺
29.03.26	Moralo - Jaraíz	0:1 ✺
22.03.26	Montehermoso - Moralo	1:2 ✺
15.03.26	Moralo - Villanovense	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 TTLWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
14.12.25	Moralo - Gévora	2:1

Gévora - Moralo: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide