Match Info

POLAND: Division 1 - Round 26

Date: 5 April 2024, Friday

Location: Stadion GKS Górnik Łęczna (Leczna)


	Górnik Łęczna		Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała

	1	X	2
	2.55	3.2	2.88
	2.4	3.1	2.75
	2.45	3.25	2.8
	2.52	3.32	2.85
	2.52	3.32	2.85
	2.38	3.25	2.62
	2.41	3.28	2.74	Watch
	2.42	3.05	2.68
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.46 ↑ (2.36)	3.22 ↑ (3.2)	2.77 ↓ (2.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Górnik Łęczna
37.8%

Draw
28.8%

Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała
33.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.2%

28.8%

32%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.4%

28.2%

32.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Górnik Łęczna has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Górnik Łęczna than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
64.3%	35.7%	0%

Górnik Łęczna - Podbeskidzie Bielsko Biała Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Górnik Łęczna will win (votes: 9 - 64.3%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 35.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Górnik Łęczna: 39.2% – 89.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Gostomski M. (C) 30. Cisse S. 10. Deja A. 7. Durmus I. 77. Gaska D. 4. Klemenz L. 17. Lukasiak K. 20. Mlynski M. 95. Roginic M. 25. Zbozien D. 16. Zyra P.	1. Krzepisz K. (G) 10. Banaszewski M. 7. Bida B. 6. Hlavica J. 11. Ilicic M. 32. Kisiel J. 4. Lusiusz S. 53. Martinaga M. 89. Mikolajewski D. (C) 23. Misztal M. 2. Ziolkowski M.
Substitutes
29. Dziwniel D. 22. Fazlagic E. 11. Janaszek F. 9. Podlinski K. 14. Rojek S. 19. Starzynski P. 52. Warchol D. 12. Wozniak T. (G)	9. Abate L. 47. Bernard B. 27. Kolenc J. . Liszka F. 17. Malachowski A. 95. Procek P. (G) . Stempniewicz M. 55. Willman M. 30. Zajac R.
Coaches
Stano P.	Skrobacz J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
25', 1 - 0, Zbozien D. ⚽,
42', 2 - 0, Roginic M. ⚽, Zyra P. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
62', Zyra P. ↓, Podlinski K. ↑,
62', Gaska D. ↓, Warchol D. ↑,
67', Kisiel J. ↓, Zajac R. ↑,
68', Misztal M. ↓, Abate L. ↑,
80', Banaszewski M. ↓, Stempniewicz M. ↑,
80', Lukasiak K. ↓, Fazlagic E. ↑,
80', Roginic M. ↓, Janaszek F. ↑,
88', Mlynski M. ↓, Rojek S. ↑,
90', Ziolkowski M. ↓, Willman M. ↑,

Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 7 and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 2).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Górnik Łęczna won 1.

Recent matches Górnik Łęczna is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Podbeskidzie is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Górnik Łęczna could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 12 head-to-head matches Górnik Łęczna won 3 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 13-13.

Including matches at home between the teams Górnik Łęczna won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 10-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Górnik Łęczna
Polish Division 1
30.03.24	Resovia Rzeszów - Górnik Łęczna	2:3 ✺
Club Friendly
22.03.24	Widzew Łódź - Górnik Łęczna	4:2 ✺
Polish Division 1
17.03.24	Górnik Łęczna - Znicz Pruszków	1:1 ✺
11.03.24	Wisła Płock - Górnik Łęczna	2:1 ✺
03.03.24	Górnik Łęczna - Motor Lublin	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WLTLT
- Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała
Polish Division 1
30.03.24	Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała - Termalica Nieciecza	2:1 ✺
17.03.24	GKS Katowice - Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała	5:0 ✺
10.03.24	Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała - Lechia Gdańsk	1:2 ✺
03.03.24	Zagłębie Sosnowiec - Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała	0:0 ✺
28.02.24	Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała - Motor Lublin	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 1
22.09.23	Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała - Górnik Łęczna	1:1
06.05.23	Górnik Łęczna - Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała	3:3
08.10.22	Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała - Górnik Łęczna	1:0
06.04.18	Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała - Górnik Łęczna	0:0
09.09.17	Górnik Łęczna - Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała	1:0
Club Friendly
29.06.16	Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała - Górnik Łęczna	1:2
Polish Ekstraklasa
10.05.16	Górnik Łęczna - Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała	5:1

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