Match Info

POLAND: Division 1 - Round 16

Date: 10 November 2024, Sunday

Location: Orlen Stadion (Płock)

Referee: Kuzma L. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	sport.tvp.pl, TVP Polonia, TVP Sport app


	Wisła Płock		Górnik Łęczna

	1	X	2
	1.73	3.8	4.5
	1.72	3.6	4.33
	1.75	3.75	4.33	Watch
	1.75	3.78	4.55
	1.76	3.7	4.42	Watch
	1.67	3.6	4.33
	1.76	3.6	4.26	Watch
	1.75	3.75	4.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.74 ↓ (1.78)	3.7 ↑ (3.64)	4.38 ↑ (4.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wisła Płock
53.6%

Draw
25.2%

Górnik Łęczna
21.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.1%

25.5%

22.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.3%

25.4%

22.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wisła Płock has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Górnik Łęczna has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wisła Płock than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Górnik Łęczna than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	33.3%	16.7%

Wisła Płock - Górnik Łęczna Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Wisła Płock will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Górnik Łęczna will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Gostomski M. (G) 5. Nastic B. 19. Edmundsson A. 44. Haglind-Sangre M. 37. Tomczyk O. 18. Jimenez J. 14. Kun D. 8. Pacheco D. 11. Famulak M. 20. Sekulski L. (C) 22. Krawczyk P.	1. Pindroch B. (G) 21. Bednarczyk J. 25. Zbozien D. 6. De Amo J. 18. Barauskas D. 15. Krawczyk S. 10. Deja A. (C) 16. Zyra P. 95. Roginic M. 19. Banaszak P. 17. Spacil B.
Substitutes
27. Borowski B. 99. Gradecki B. (G) 16. Hiszpanski F. 9. Kocyla D. 91. Kuchko G. 3. Kukulka K. 17. Misiak P. 24. Niepsuj D. 6. Pomorski K.	30. Akhmedov B. 5. Broda M. 11. Janaszek F. 23. Oduko O. 12. Olszak D. (G) 22. Orlik K. 14. Szabaciuk F. 9. Turski H. 52. Warchol D.
Coaches
Misiura M.	Stano P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
18', Nastic B. 🟨,
43', 1 - 0, Haglind-Sangre M. ⚽, Kun D. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 2)
53', Edmundsson A. 🟨,
54', 1 - 1, Deja A. ⚽,
57', 1 - 2, Roginic M. ⚽,
61', Spacil B. ↓, Warchol D. ↑,
61', Famulak M. ↓, Kocyla D. ↑,
62', Nastic B. ↓, Misiak P. ↑,
62', Sekulski L. ↓, Hiszpanski F. ↑,
70', Krawczyk S. ↓, Janaszek F. ↑,
71', Zyra P. ↓, Akhmedov B. ↑,
73', Tomczyk O. ↓, Kukulka K. ↑,
80', Kun D. ↓, Pomorski K. ↑,
84', 2 - 2, Barauskas D. (Own goal),
88', De Amo J. 🟨,
90+3', Banaszak P. ↓, Orlik K. ↑,
90+3', Bednarczyk J. ↓, Oduko O. ↑,
90+6', 🟨,
90+6', De Amo J. 🟨,

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 7).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Wisła Płock won 3.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Górnik Łęczna could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Wisła Płock is a favorite.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Wisła Płock won 6 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 17:13 (average 1.7:1.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Wisła Płock won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7:5 (average 1.4:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wisła Płock
Polish Division 1
02.11.24	Arka Gdynia - Wisła Płock	2:0 ✺
27.10.24	Wisła Płock - Wisła Kraków	1:3 ✺
19.10.24	Znicz Pruszków - Wisła Płock	2:2 ✺
05.10.24	Wisła Płock - Polonia Warsaw	4:1 ✺
30.09.24	ŁKS Łódź - Wisła Płock	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 LLTWW
- Górnik Łęczna
Polish Division 1
02.11.24	Górnik Łęczna - Termalica Nieciecza	0:2 ✺
26.10.24	Pogoń Siedlce - Górnik Łęczna	1:1 ✺
22.10.24	Górnik Łęczna - Wisła Kraków	1:0 ✺
18.10.24	Górnik Łęczna - Odra Opole	2:2 ✺
06.10.24	Chrobry Głogów - Górnik Łęczna	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 LTWTT

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 1
11.03.24	Wisła Płock - Górnik Łęczna	2:1
26.08.23	Górnik Łęczna - Wisła Płock	1:0
Polish Ekstraklasa
06.03.22	Wisła Płock - Górnik Łęczna	3:1
13.09.21	Górnik Łęczna - Wisła Płock	3:2
Club Friendly
28.06.17	Wisła Płock - Górnik Łęczna	1:0
Polish Ekstraklasa
06.05.17	Górnik Łęczna - Wisła Płock	2:3
08.04.17	Górnik Łęczna - Wisła Płock	2:3

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