Match Info

POLAND: DIVISION 1 - ROUND 25

Date: 30 March 2024, Saturday

Location: Stadion Miejski w Bielsku Bialej (Bielsko-Biała)

Referee: Urban P. (Pol)


	Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała		Termalica Nieciecza

	1	X	2
	2.55	3.25	2.6
	2.45	3.25	2.6
	2.5	3.3	2.7
	2.61	3.4	2.69
	2.61	3.4	2.69
	2.45	3.3	2.5
	2.57	3.26	2.57	Watch
	2.46	3.15	2.51
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.53 ↓ (2.66)	3.29 ↑ (3.1)	2.61 ↑ (2.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała
36.5%

Draw
28.1%

Termalica Nieciecza
35.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.1%

29.2%

36.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.7%

26.4%

33.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Termalica Nieciecza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Termalica Nieciecza than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	20%	60%

Podbeskidzie Bielsko Biała - Termalica Nieciecza Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Podbeskidzie will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Termalica will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Krzepisz K. (G) 10. Banaszewski M. 6. Hlavica J. 11. Ilicic M. 27. Kolenc J. 53. Martinaga M. 89. Mikolajewski D. 23. Misztal M. 5. Senic M. 24. Sitek M. 2. Ziolkowski M.	1. Loska T. (G) 9. Branecki J. 8. Dombrovskiy A. 7. Fassbender M. 21. Hilbrycht D. 3. Kasperkiewicz A. 77. Putivtsev A. 10. Radwanski A. 23. Spendlhofer L. 53. Trubeha A. 17. Zaviyskyi T.
Substitutes
9. Abate L. 47. Bernard B. 7. Bida B. 32. Kisiel J. 17. Malachowski A. 95. Procek P. (G) 55. Willman M. . Zajac R.	19. Bahonko E. . Deisadze 26. Jakubik W. 99. Jedrasik J. 5. Jovanovic V. 24. Karasek K. 70. Topor E. (G) 13. Waclawek B. 6. Wolski M.
Coaches
Skrobacz J.	Brosz M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
11', 0 - 1, Zaviyskyi T. ⚽, Kasperkiewicz A. (A),
35', Misztal M. 🟨,
38', Kasperkiewicz A. 🟨,
45+3', Senic M. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Kolenc J. ↓, Kisiel J. ↑,
46', Ziolkowski M. ↓, Bida B. ↑,
54', Trubeha A. ↓, Karasek K. ↑,
56', Ilicic M. ↓, Abate L. ↑,
60', Mikolajewski D. 🟨,
62', Branecki J. ↓, Bahonko E. ↑,
69', Misztal M. ↓, Zajac R. ↑,
72', 1 - 1, Bida B. ⚽, Martinaga M. (A),
77', Fassbender M. ↓, Waclawek B. ↑,
78', Putivtsev A. ↓, Jovanovic V. ↑,
78', Hilbrycht D. ↓, Jakubik W. ↑,
79', Jovanovic V. 🟨,
85', Martinaga M. ↓, Malachowski A. ↑,
90+3', 2 - 1, Mikolajewski D. (Pen),
90+10', Sitek M. 🟨,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Podbeskidzie won 1.

Podbeskidzie has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Termalica is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Podbeskidzie won 3 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 15-14.

Including matches at home between the teams Podbeskidzie won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 7-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała
Polish Division 1
17.03.24	GKS Katowice - Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała	5:0 ✺
10.03.24	Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała - Lechia Gdańsk	1:2 ✺
03.03.24	Zagłębie Sosnowiec - Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała	0:0 ✺
28.02.24	Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała - Motor Lublin	1:2 ✺
24.02.24	Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała - Odra Opole	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLTLL
- Termalica Nieciecza
Polish Division 1
16.03.24	Termalica Nieciecza - Resovia Rzeszów	1:4 ✺
08.03.24	Znicz Pruszków - Termalica Nieciecza	2:0 ✺
02.03.24	Termalica Nieciecza - Wisła Płock	2:2 ✺
24.02.24	Motor Lublin - Termalica Nieciecza	1:0 ✺
18.02.24	Termalica Nieciecza - Chrobry Głogów	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLTLT

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 1
17.09.23	Termalica Nieciecza - Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała	2:2
30.04.23	Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała - Termalica Nieciecza	2:2
02.10.22	Termalica Nieciecza - Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała	2:2
06.06.20	Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała - Termalica Nieciecza	1:0
31.08.19	Termalica Nieciecza - Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała	2:2
28.11.18	Termalica Nieciecza - Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała	1:0
28.07.18	Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała - Termalica Nieciecza	1:2

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