Match Info

Division 1 - Round 24

Date: 7 March 2026, Saturday

Location: Stadion GKS Górnik Łęczna (Leczna)

Referee: Malec P. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	sport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app


	Górnik Łęczna		Wieczysta Kraków

	1	X	2
	3.6	3.4	1.85
	3.5	3.7	1.83
	3.6	3.6	1.9	Watch
	3.9	3.7	1.93
	3.75	3.82	1.87	Watch
	3.6	3.3	1.85
	3.74	3.54	1.93	Watch
	3.6	3.75	1.82
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.66 ↑ (3.6)	3.6 ↓ (3.75)	1.87 ↑ (1.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Górnik Łęczna
25.2%

Draw
25.6%

Wieczysta Kraków
49.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.4%

24.4%

50.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.4%

23.5%

52.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Górnik Łęczna has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Wieczysta Kraków has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Górnik Łęczna than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wieczysta Kraków than the current prediction. (+3%)

Górnik Łęczna - Wieczysta Kraków Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
53. Budzilek L. (G) 74. Kruk K. 29. Gucek L. 4. Jaroszynski P. (C) 17. Spacil B. 10. Deja A. 8. Kryeziu E. 19. Biedrzycki B. 95. Janaszek F. 38. Myszor J. 9. Paryzek P.	1. Mikulko A. (G) 4. Fila K. 2. Pazdan M. (C) 5. Olsson E. 33. Pestka K. 11. Knezevic N. 12. Piazon L. 20. Maigaard M. 23. Miki Villar 27. Carlitos 80. Dziegielewski N.
Substitutes
30. Akhmedov B. 3. Holownia M. 71. Nowogonski K. 23. Ogaga D. 22. Orlik K. 88. Osipiuk O. 1. Pindroch B. (G) 14. Szabaciuk F. 7. Wolsztynski R.	17. Dankowski K. 18. Feiertag S. 7. Gajos M. 9. Paulinho 6. Pietrzak R. 70. Pusic P. 77. Semedo L. 28. Soberka K. (G) 19. Trabka M.
Coaches
Shatalov Y.	Moskal K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
15', Olsson E. 🟨,
17', Deja A. ↓, Akhmedov B. ↑,
27', Carlitos (Penalty Awarded),
34', 0 - 1, Miki Villar ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Spacil B. ↓, Nowogonski K. ↑,
46', Biedrzycki B. ↓, Ogaga D. ↑,
47', Pazdan M. 🟨,
55', Kruk K. 🟨,
60', Knezevic N. ↓, Pusic P. ↑,
73', Dziegielewski N. ↓, Trabka M. ↑,
73', Carlitos ↓, Feiertag S. ↑,
76', 0 - 2, Feiertag S. ⚽, Miki Villar (A),
76', Paryzek P. ↓, Orlik K. ↑,
84', Miki Villar ↓, Semedo L. ↑,
86', Janaszek F. ↓, Wolsztynski R. ↑,
90+2', 0 - 3, Feiertag S. ⚽, Maigaard M. (A),

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 2 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Górnik Łęczna may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Wieczysta might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Górnik Łęczna won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.

Outrights of Polish Division 1 for now

Leczna: 6.76%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Górnik Łęczna
Polish Division 1
27.02.26	Pogoń Siedlce - Górnik Łęczna	1:1 ✺
20.02.26	Górnik Łęczna - GKS Tychy	1:0 ✺
13.02.26	Górnik Łęczna - Stal Mielec	1:1 ✺
08.02.26	Puszcza Niepołomice - Górnik Łęczna	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
21.01.26	Górnik Łęczna - Resovia Rzeszów	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 TWTLT
- Wieczysta Kraków
Polish Division 1
02.03.26	Wieczysta Kraków - Polonia Warsaw	1:2 ✺
20.02.26	Wisła Kraków - Wieczysta Kraków	1:1 ✺
15.02.26	Wieczysta Kraków - Puszcza Niepołomice	3:1 ✺
07.02.26	Znicz Pruszków - Wieczysta Kraków	2:3 ✺
Club Friendly
30.01.26	Wieczysta Kraków - Voždovac	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LTWWT

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 1
25.08.25	Wieczysta Kraków - Górnik Łęczna	2:2

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