Match Info

Division 1 - Promotion - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 28 May 2026, Thursday

Location: Stadion KS Wieczysta (Kraków)

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	sport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app, TVP Sport


	Wieczysta Kraków		Polonia Warsaw

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.7	3.4
	1.9	3.75	3.5	Watch
	1.94	3.99	3.69
	1.86	4.03	3.61	Watch
	1.85	3.6	3.3
	1.83	3.64	3.6	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.86 ↑ (1.74)	3.79 ↓ (3.82)	3.52 ↓ (3.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wieczysta Kraków
49.5%

Draw
24.3%

Polonia Warsaw
26.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.7%

24.1%

23.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.5%

23.7%

22.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wieczysta Kraków has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

Polonia Warsaw has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wieczysta Kraków than the current prediction. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Polonia Warsaw than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
72.2%	0%	27.8%

Wieczysta Kraków - Polonia Warsaw Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Wieczysta will win (votes: 13 - 72.2%). Polonia will win (votes: 5 - 27.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Wieczysta: 51.5% – 92.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Wieczysta (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Mikulko A. (G) 4. Fila K. 15. Djermanovic A. 2. Pazdan M. 33. Pestka K. 7. Gajos M. 12. Piazon L. 20. Maigaard M. 23. Miki Villar 77. Semedo L. 18. Feiertag S.	96. Kuchta M. (G) 20. Brasido D. 30. Cisse S. 16. Budnicki J. 97. Janasik P. 26. Gnaase D. 7. Vega D. 23. Skrabb S. 8. Wojciechowski O. 99. Durmus I. 9. Zjawinski L.
Substitutes
27. Carlitos 17. Dankowski K. 80. Dziegielewski N. 11. Knezevic N. 9. Paulinho 6. Pietrzak R. 28. Soberka K. (G) 44. Szymonowicz D. 19. Trabka M.	77. Buksa A. 17. Dadok R. 14. Gorzedowski M. 5. Hoxhallari E. 90. Kostorz K. 44. Piotrowski B. 1. Sandach A. (G) 4. Szur P.
Coaches
Moskal K.	Pawlak M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
13', Cisse S. 🟨,
26', 1 - 0, Feiertag S. ⚽, Fila K. (A),
31', 1 - 1, Durmus I. ⚽, Zjawinski L. (A),
38', 2 - 1, Semedo L. ⚽, Fila K. (A),
45', Djermanovic A. 🟥,
45+1', Gajos M. ↓, Szymonowicz D. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
57', Brasido D. ↓, Dadok R. ↑,
65', Budnicki J. 🟨,
67', 2 - 2, Skrabb S. ⚽, Dadok R. (A),
73', Miki Villar ↓, Dankowski K. ↑,
73', Semedo L. ↓, Dziegielewski N. ↑,
73', Cisse S. ↓, Szur P. ↑,
73', Skrabb S. ↓, Kostorz K. ↑,
74', 3 - 2, Feiertag S. ⚽, Szymonowicz D. (A),
79', Feiertag S. ↓, Trabka M. ↑,
80', Janasik P. ↓, Vasin N. ↑,
80', Wojciechowski O. ↓, Terpilowski E. ↑,

Preview

Wieczysta is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Polonia's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Wieczysta might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Wieczysta won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:3. (average 3.5:1.5).

Including home match between the teams, Wieczysta won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Outrights of Polish Division 1 for now

Polonia Warszawa: 6.76%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Polonia Warszawa	9	4	2	3	15:12	3	14

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wieczysta Kraków
Polish Division 1
24.05.26	Wieczysta Kraków - Chrobry Głogów	1:1 ✺
16.05.26	Stal Rzeszów - Wieczysta Kraków	1:5 ✺
09.05.26	Wieczysta Kraków - Miedź Legnica	0:1 ✺
02.05.26	Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - Wieczysta Kraków	1:4 ✺
26.04.26	Wieczysta Kraków - GKS Tychy	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 TWLWW
- Polonia Warsaw
Polish Division 1
24.05.26	Odra Opole - Polonia Warsaw	1:2 ✺
15.05.26	Polonia Warsaw - Wisła Kraków	0:1 ✺
10.05.26	Polonia Warsaw - Górnik Łęczna	2:1 ✺
04.05.26	Polonia Bytom - Polonia Warsaw	3:2 ✺
25.04.26	Polonia Warsaw - Chrobry Głogów	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 1
02.03.26	Wieczysta Kraków - Polonia Warsaw	1:2
19.08.25	Polonia Warsaw - Wieczysta Kraków	1:6

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