Match Info

Division 1 - Round 22

Date: 20 February 2026, Friday

Location: Stadion GKS Górnik Łęczna (Leczna)

Referee: Karski L. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	sport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app


	Górnik Łęczna		GKS Tychy

	1	X	2
	2.5	3.3	2.6
	2.52	3.35	2.58	Watch
	2.66	3.4	2.65
	2.48	3.5	2.67	Watch
	2.5	3.1	2.5
	2.49	3.25	2.49
	2.57	3.8	2.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.53 ↓ (2.92)	3.39 ↑ (3.11)	2.56 ↑ (2.19)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Górnik Łęczna
36.5%

Draw
27.3%

GKS Tychy
36.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.6%

28.7%

40.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Górnik Łęczna has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Górnik Łęczna's performance.

GKS Tychy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	14.3%	71.4%

Górnik Łęczna - GKS Tychy Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Górnik Łęczna will win (votes: 2 - 14.3%). GKS Tychy will win (votes: 10 - 71.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 14.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for GKS Tychy: 47.7% – 95.1%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Górnik Łęczna (1.79) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 50%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Górnik Łęczna (1.47) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): GKS Tychy will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Górnik Łęczna (votes: 2 - 33.3%). GKS Tychy (votes: 3 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
53. Budzilek L. (G) 17. Spacil B. 14. Szabaciuk F. 29. Gucek L. 4. Jaroszynski P. (C) 23. Ogaga D. 10. Deja A. 38. Myszor J. 8. Kryeziu E. 95. Janaszek F. 9. Paryzek P.	39. Madrzyk J. (G) 3. Teclaw J. 26. Lasicki I. (C) 2. Silva L. 37. Keiblinger J. 30. Wuwer J. 10. Listkowski M. 22. Kubik T. 92. Kadzior D. 24. Baranski B. 9. Rumin D.
Substitutes
30. Akhmedov B. 3. Holownia M. 74. Kruk K. 71. Nowogonski K. 1. Pindroch B. (G) 86. Rafa Santos 18. Spiaczka B. . Stepniak J. 99. Wilk K. (G)	31. Kolotylo K. (G) 20. Krawczyk P. 4. Lipkowski K. 29. Lysiak P. 21. Machowski K. . Rygula T. 11. Sandoval D. 8. Szpakowski M. 90. Welniak K.
Coaches
Shatalov Y.	Piszczek L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
1', Jaroszynski P. 🟨,
21', Listkowski M. 🟨,
27', Kadzior D. ↓, Lysiak P. ↑,
38', 1 - 0, Gucek L. ⚽, Janaszek F. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
47', Spacil B. 🟨,
55', 🟨,
60', Spacil B. ↓, Nowogonski K. ↑,
60', Teclaw J. 🟨,
60', Janaszek F. ↓, Spiaczka B. ↑,
61', Listkowski M. ↓, Welniak K. ↑,
61', Rumin D. ↓, Krawczyk P. ↑,
77', Kubik T. ↓, Sandoval D. ↑,
77', Wuwer J. ↓, Szpakowski M. ↑,
89', Budzilek L. 🟨,
90+4', Paryzek P. ↓, Akhmedov B. ↑,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 2 and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 2).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Górnik Łęczna won 2.

GKS Tychy's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Górnik Łęczna won 7 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 21:22. (average 1.2:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Górnik Łęczna won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 13:5. (average 1.9:0.7).

Outrights of Polish Division 1 for now

Tychy: 16.22% Leczna: 6.76%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Górnik Łęczna
Polish Division 1
13.02.26	Górnik Łęczna - Stal Mielec	1:1 ✺
08.02.26	Puszcza Niepołomice - Górnik Łęczna	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
21.01.26	Górnik Łęczna - Resovia Rzeszów	2:2 ✺
Polish Division 1
07.12.25	Górnik Łęczna - Ruch Chorzów	0:1 ✺
28.11.25	Polonia Bytom - Górnik Łęczna	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 TLTLT
- GKS Tychy
Polish Division 1
16.02.26	GKS Tychy - Odra Opole	1:1 ✺
06.02.26	Wisła Kraków - GKS Tychy	3:1 ✺
Club Friendly
30.01.26	GKS Tychy - Zagłębie Sosnowiec	3:1 ✺
24.01.26	Polonia Bytom - GKS Tychy	1:0 ✺
20.01.26	Gjilani - GKS Tychy	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 TLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 1
17.08.25	GKS Tychy - Górnik Łęczna	2:2
25.05.25	GKS Tychy - Górnik Łęczna	3:1
23.11.24	Górnik Łęczna - GKS Tychy	2:2
26.05.24	GKS Tychy - Górnik Łęczna	0:1
20.02.24	Górnik Łęczna - GKS Tychy	2:0
29.04.23	GKS Tychy - Górnik Łęczna	2:1
01.10.22	Górnik Łęczna - GKS Tychy	3:2

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