The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Górnik Łęczna 36.9%
Draw 27.1%
Stal Mielec 36.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
34.7%
27.8%
37.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
34.2%
27.4%
38%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Górnik Łęczna has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)
Stal Mielec has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Górnik Łęczna than the current prediction. (-2.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stal Mielec than the current prediction. (+1.9%)
Górnik Łęczna - Stal Mielec Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
99. Wilk K. (G) 30. Akhmedov B. 5. Kobryn R. 7. Korbecki B. 38. Myszor J. 9. Novotny J. 88. Osipiuk O. 27. Rogala G. (C) 77. Swierkot I. 11. Tkacz D. 23. Turek K.
41. Chrapusta P. (G) 10. Domanski M. (C) 5. Matynia H. 47. Oure S. 88. Prajsnar P. 77. Sadlocha K. 6. Sommerfeld K. 26. Stala M. 29. Tupaj P. 38. Wyparlo M. 20. Ziobron E.
Substitutes
29. Antkowiak H. 10. Deja A. 3. Holownia M. 74. Kruk K. 1. Matysek A. (G) . Orzylowski 26. Samonek W. 40. Stadnicki E. 16. Walski M.
78. Cybulski K. 19. Gmur T. 99. Gostomski M. (G) 14. Koscielny K. 90. Kruszelnicki P. 70. Musiolik S. 8. Niedzwiedz N. 11. Odolak K. 16. Szady N.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
21', 1 - 0, Akhmedov B. ⚽,
40', Novotny J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Prajsnar P. ↓, Niedzwiedz N. ↑,
54', 2 - 0, Myszor J. ⚽,
60', Korbecki B. ↓, Walski M. ↑,
60', Novotny J. ↓, Antkowiak H. ↑,
61', Tupaj P. ↓, Kruszelnicki P. ↑,
61', Sadlocha K. ↓, Musiolik S. ↑,
62', Ziobron E. ↓, Cybulski K. ↑,
65', Niedzwiedz N. 🟨,
68', Myszor J. ↓, Deja A. ↑,
68', Swierkot I. ↓, Stadnicki E. ↑,
84', Rogala G. ↓, Holownia M. ↑,
84', Sommerfeld K. ↓, Odolak K. ↑,
90+2', 2 - 1, Odolak K. ⚽,
90+3', 2 - 2, Niedzwiedz N. ⚽,
Extra Time (1 - 1)
95', Stala M. 🟨,
95', Domanski M. ↓, Koscielny K. ↑,
104', Matynia H. 🟨,
109', 3 - 2, Akhmedov B. ⚽,
111', 3 - 3, Musiolik S. ⚽,
116', Osipiuk O. 🟨,
Penalties (4 - 3)
1, Deja A. (Penalty Awarded),
1, Musiolik S. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Walski M. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Cybulski K. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Holownia M. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Matynia H. (Penalty Awarded),
4, (Penalty Awarded),
4, (Penalty Awarded),
5, (Penalty Awarded),
5, (Penalty Awarded),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Górnik Łęczna won 1.
Górnik Łęczna is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
In recent matches, Stal Mielec has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Stal Mielec may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Stal Mielec is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Górnik Łęczna won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:10. (average 1.3:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Górnik Łęczna won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 6:5. (average 2:1.7).
Last Results with these Odds
Górnik Łęczna - the odds 2.55 are the expected chance of winning is 34.69%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.
Watch
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Wilk K. (G) 
Akhmedov B. 
Novotny J. 
Oure S. 
Orzylowski 
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