Match Info

III Liga - Group III - Round 10

Date: 28 September 2025, Sunday


	Górnik 2 Zabrze		Zagłębie 2 Lubin

	1	X	2
	2	3.8	2.88
	2	3.95	3.03
	2.06	3.53	3.14	Watch
	2	3.84	2.95	Watch
	2.1	3.75	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.03 ↑ (2.01)	3.77 ↓ (3.82)	2.99 ↑ (2.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Górnik 2 Zabrze
45.1%

Draw
24.3%

Zagłębie 2 Lubin
30.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45%

23.7%

31.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.3%

23.9%

31.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Górnik 2 Zabrze has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Zagłębie 2 Lubin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Górnik 2 Zabrze than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zagłębie 2 Lubin than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Górnik 2 Zabrze - Zagłębie 2 Lubin Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
64', 1 - 0, ⚽,
79', 1 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 12 and 8).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Górnik 2 won 1.

Recent form of Górnik 2 has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Zagłębie 2 has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Górnik 2 will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Górnik 2 won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:14. (average 1.4:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Górnik 2 won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:5. (average 1.5:1.3).

Last Results with these Odds

Zagłębie 2 Lubin - the odds 2.9 are the expected chance of winning is 31.27%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Górnik 2 Zabrze
Polish Division 3 - Group III
20.09.25	Warta Gorzów Wielkopolski - Górnik 2 Zabrze	2:1 ✺
13.09.25	Górnik 2 Zabrze - Sparta Katowice	0:2 ✺
06.09.25	Słowianin Wolibórz - Górnik 2 Zabrze	3:2 ✺
31.08.25	Górnik 2 Zabrze - Polonia Nysa	2:2 ✺
27.08.25	Górnik 2 Zabrze - Ślęza Wrocław	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 LLLTW
- Zagłębie 2 Lubin
Polish Division 3 - Group III
20.09.25	Zagłębie 2 Lubin - Polonia Nysa	5:2 ✺
12.09.25	Karkonosze Jelenia Góra - Zagłębie 2 Lubin	2:2 ✺
05.09.25	Zagłębie 2 Lubin - Skra Częstochowa	3:4 ✺
31.08.25	Kluczbork - Zagłębie 2 Lubin	1:2 ✺
27.08.25	Zagłębie 2 Lubin - Lechia Zielona Góra	1:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WTLWL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group III
28.05.22	Zagłębie 2 Lubin - Górnik 2 Zabrze	5:1
24.10.21	Górnik 2 Zabrze - Zagłębie 2 Lubin	1:1
31.03.21	Zagłębie 2 Lubin - Górnik 2 Zabrze	4:1
18.11.20	Górnik 2 Zabrze - Zagłębie 2 Lubin	0:2
28.09.19	Zagłębie 2 Lubin - Górnik 2 Zabrze	0:3
14.04.19	Zagłębie 2 Lubin - Górnik 2 Zabrze	0:2
01.09.18	Górnik 2 Zabrze - Zagłębie 2 Lubin	2:2

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