Match Info

Date: 3 October 2020, Saturday


	Górnik Konin		Sokół Kleczew

	1	X	2
	5	4.6	1.44
	5.4	4.8	1.44
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.2 ↑ (4.78)	4.7 ↓ (4.84)	1.44 (1.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Górnik Konin
17.5%

Draw
19.4%

Sokół Kleczew
63.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.8%

18.6%

62.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15.9%

15.7%

73.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Górnik Konin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Sokół Kleczew has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Górnik Konin than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sokół Kleczew than the current prediction. (+10.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sokół Kleczew could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

A team from the mid-table and outsider will play in this match (ranked 21 and 11).

Górnik Konin has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Kleczew is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Kleczew is a favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Górnik Konin won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 3-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Górnik Konin won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Górnik Konin
Polish Division 3 - Group II
26.09.20	Bałtyk Gdynia - Górnik Konin	6:0 ✺
19.09.20	Górnik Konin - Pomorzanin Toruń	0:3 ✺
12.09.20	Polonia Środa Wielkopolska - Górnik Konin	2:1 ✺
05.09.20	Górnik Konin - Flota Świnoujście	1:1 ✺
29.08.20	Nielba Wągrowiec - Górnik Konin	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LLLTL
- Sokół Kleczew
Polish Division 3 - Group II
26.09.20	Sokół Kleczew - Elana Toruń	1:1 ✺
19.09.20	Jarota Jarocin - Sokół Kleczew	0:1 ✺
12.09.20	Sokół Kleczew - Mieszko Gniezno	3:1 ✺
04.09.20	Pogoń Szczecin II - Sokół Kleczew	0:7 ✺
29.08.20	Sokół Kleczew - Unia Janikowo	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16 TWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group II
16.11.19	Górnik Konin - Sokół Kleczew	1:3
01.05.19	Górnik Konin - Sokół Kleczew	0:1
29.09.18	Sokół Kleczew - Górnik Konin	1:0
07.04.18	Górnik Konin - Sokół Kleczew	1:0
02.09.17	Sokół Kleczew - Górnik Konin	1:1

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