Match Info

Ekstraklasa - Round 11

Date: 18 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stadion im. Ernesta Pohla (Zabrze) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Gryckiewicz P. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Bosnia And Herzegovina	12:15	Arena Sport 1
Canada	06:15	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol
Croatia	12:15	Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
Germany	12:15	Sportdigital1+, Sportdigital FUSSBALL
Poland	12:15	CANAL+ 360, CANAL+ Sport 3, Ekstraklasa TV
Switzerland	12:15	Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Ukraine	13:15	Sport 1
Usa	06:15	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, beIN Sports 5, beIN Sports US Espanol, beIN Sports XTRA
International	10:15	OneFootball TV, Sport 1 Baltic


	Górnik Zabrze		Piast Gliwice

	1	X	2
	1.55	3.9	5.25	Watch
	1.57	4.10	5.25
	1.52	3.95	5.3
	1.61	4.2	5.58
	1.6	4.14	5.5	Watch
	1.59	4.05	5.5
	1.61	4.05	5.45	Watch
	1.55	4.1	5.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.58 ↓ (1.79)	4.06 ↑ (3.92)	5.38 ↑ (4.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Górnik Zabrze
59.5%

Draw
23.1%

Piast Gliwice
17.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

53.1%

24.3%

22.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.2%

23.7%

22.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Górnik Zabrze has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Górnik Zabrze's performance.

Piast Gliwice has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Piast Gliwice might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Górnik Zabrze than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Górnik Zabrze that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Piast Gliwice than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Górnik Zabrze - Piast Gliwice Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Górnik Zabrze will win (votes: 4 - 80%). Piast will win (votes: 1 - 20%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Górnik Zabrze (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Schulze P. (G) 21. Zmrzly O. 26. Janicki R. 20. Josema 64. Janza E. (C) 6. Hojholt M. 19. Peter Federico 8. Bernardo P. 82. Urbanski K. 33. Khlan M. 23. Liseth S.	75. Gril D. (G) 99. Twumasi E. 5. Juande 4. Czerwinski J. (C) 36. Lewicki J. 11. Sanca L. 27. Labojko J. 17. Boisgard Q. 80. Vallejo H. 10. Katsantonis A. 19. Ntamack S.
Substitutes
4. Bochniewicz P. 66. Dietz M. 34. Durdov B. 7. Ikia Dimi Y. 27. Inoussa Z. 29. Kania W. (G) 14. Kubicki J. 99. Loska T. (G) 11. Prekop E. 2. Warczak P.	28. Borowski F. 3. Fikaj E. 47. Grelich J. (G) 91. Kucharski M. 31. Lesniak O. 90. Lima I. 98. Lokilo J. 18. Maziarz O. 12. Mendes-Dudzinski M. (G) 77. Mucha S. 15. Pitan L. 22. Sierralta F.
Coaches
Gasparik M.	Mysliwiec D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
5', 1 - 0, Janicki R. ⚽, Janza E. (A),
7', 1 - 1, Vallejo H. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
59', Lewicki J. 🟨,
60', Liseth S. ↓, Prekop E. ↑,
68', Labojko J. ↓, Lesniak O. ↑,
68', Katsantonis A. ↓, Mucha S. ↑,
71', Peter Federico ↓, Ikia Dimi Y. ↑,
71', Khlan M. ↓, Inoussa Z. ↑,
85', Bernardo P. ↓, Kubicki J. ↑,
86', Lewicki J. ↓, Fikaj E. ↑,
86', Ntamack S. ↓, Maziarz O. ↑,
89', Fikaj E. 🟨,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1st in the Promotion - Champions League (Qualification: ) and 7th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Górnik Zabrze won 4.

Górnik Zabrze has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Piast has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Piast may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Piast has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.

In this matchup, Górnik Zabrze is considered the favorite to take the win.

Confirmed absences for Piast: Plach F. (Knee Injury).

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Górnik Zabrze has recorded 7 wins, 5 draws, and 8 losses, with a goal aggregate of 19:19 (averaging 1:1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Górnik Zabrze against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses, with 14:12 goals (averaging 1.4:1.2 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Gornik Zabrze	13	8	4	1	21:11	10	28
6	Piast Gliwice	12	6	2	4	22:18	4	20

Last Results with these Odds

Górnik Zabrze - the odds 1.79 are the expected chance of winning is 53.11%, but this team recently wins 86% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Górnik Zabrze
Polish Ekstraklasa
10.10.26	Jagiellonia Białystok - Górnik Zabrze	1:3 ✺
Club Friendly
02.10.26	Górnik Zabrze - Odra Opole	0:2 ✺
Polish Ekstraklasa
19.09.26	Motor Lublin - Górnik Zabrze	0:0 ✺
15.09.26	Korona Kielce - Górnik Zabrze	0:2 ✺
12.09.26	Górnik Zabrze - Lech Poznań	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 WLTWW
- Piast Gliwice
Polish Ekstraklasa
11.10.26	Piast Gliwice - Widzew Łódź	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
02.10.26	Piast Gliwice - Wisła Kraków	3:4 ✺
Polish Ekstraklasa
20.09.26	Piast Gliwice - Pogoń Szczecin	1:2 ✺
14.09.26	Radomiak Radom - Piast Gliwice	0:2 ✺
04.09.26	Piast Gliwice - GKS Katowice	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Ekstraklasa
31.01.26	Górnik Zabrze - Piast Gliwice	2:1
26.07.25	Piast Gliwice - Górnik Zabrze	0:1
17.05.25	Piast Gliwice - Górnik Zabrze	2:0
24.11.24	Górnik Zabrze - Piast Gliwice	1:0
10.02.24	Piast Gliwice - Górnik Zabrze	1:3
05.08.23	Górnik Zabrze - Piast Gliwice	0:0
31.03.23	Piast Gliwice - Górnik Zabrze	1:0

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