Match Info

TURKEY: TURKISH CUP - 1/32-FINALS

Date: 6 December 2023, Wednesday


	Göztepe		1461 Trabzon

	1	X	2
	1.4	4	7
	1.46	3.8	6.5
	1.47	4	7
	1.43	4	6.4
	1.46	3.96	7.55
	1.35	4	7.5
	1.43	4.15	7.2	Watch
	1.46	4	6.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.43 ↓ (1.69)	3.99 ↑ (3.44)	6.99 ↑ (4.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Göztepe
63.9%

Draw
23%

1461 Trabzon
13.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.5%

26.8%

18.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.5%

26.8%

18.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Göztepe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Göztepe's performance.

1461 Trabzon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and 1461 Trabzon might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Göztepe than the current prediction. (-9.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Göztepe that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for 1461 Trabzon than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that 1461 Trabzon could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.5%	0%	12.5%

Göztepe - 1461 Trabzon Predictions

Users Predictions: Göztepe will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Ozcimen A. (G) 50. Akdag U. 19. Gedik E. 9. Kanatsizkus K. 30. Kayan Y. 23. Mamah K. 33. Nukan A. 15. Serbest T. 7. Traore A. 88. Uzum F. 6. Yuksel C.	29. Kahveci O. (G) 5. Alagoz E. 10. Aydin B. 6. Caliskan N. 77. Can U. 19. Demirel A. 67. Dibek S. 4. Karsli B. 99. Tasci H. 2. Yegen E. 88. Zaman E.
Substitutes
17. Aksakal E. 77. Bayrak O. 3. Dere A. 21. Erdogan D. 11. Ildiz A. 1. Lis M. (G) 32. Malak I. 24. Nielsen L. 43. Tijanic D. 40. Yildirim E.	8. Ergul T. 55. Erol B. 1. Karabulut O. (G) 61. Kor B. 42. Korkut A. 30. Mutlu R. C. 81. Tekdal T. 7. Tuncer A. H. 33. Velioglu T. C. 14. Yesil H.

Preview

Recent matches Göztepe is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

1461 Trabzon is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Göztepe is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Göztepe won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Göztepe won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Göztepe
Turkish First League
03.12.23	Göztepe - Giresunspor	3:0 ✺
26.11.23	Göztepe - Tuzlaspor	2:0 ✺
12.11.23	Erzurumspor - Göztepe	3:2 ✺
04.11.23	Göztepe - Kocaelispor	0:1 ✺
28.10.23	Keçiörengücü - Göztepe	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WWLLW
- 1461 Trabzon
Turkish Second League White Group
03.12.23	Bucaspor 1928 - 1461 Trabzon	1:1 ✺
26.11.23	1461 Trabzon - Bursaspor	3:0 ✺
19.11.23	Ankara Demirspor - 1461 Trabzon	1:3 ✺
12.11.23	1461 Trabzon - Beyoglu Yeni Carsi	2:0 ✺
05.11.23	Altınordu - 1461 Trabzon	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 TWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Turkish First League
25.04.16	1461 Trabzon - Göztepe	2:0
06.12.15	Göztepe - 1461 Trabzon	1:0
21.04.13	1461 Trabzon - Göztepe	1:1
02.12.12	Göztepe - 1461 Trabzon	1:0

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