Match Info

TURKEY: 1. LIG - ROUND 7

Date: 2 October 2023, Monday

Location: Gürsel Aksel Stadyumu (Izmir)

Referee: Guldibi O. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	SportKlub
Croatia	SportKlub
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub


	Göztepe		Adanaspor

	1	X	2
	1.5	3.75	6	Watch
	1.53	3.8	5.5
	1.55	4	6	Watch
	1.53	4.01	6.84
	1.5	3.75	5.8
	1.53	3.86	5.9
	1.55	3.75	5.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.53 ↓ (1.85)	3.85 ↑ (3.7)	5.92 ↑ (3.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Göztepe
60.4%

Draw
24%

Adanaspor
15.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.3%

25.2%

24.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.5%

24.6%

23.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Göztepe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Göztepe's performance.

Adanaspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Adanaspor might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Göztepe than the current prediction. (-8.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Göztepe that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Adanaspor than the current prediction. (+8.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Adanaspor could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
82.4%	5.9%	11.8%

Göztepe - Adanaspor Predictions

Users Predictions: Göztepe will win (14 of 17 users predict this - 82.35%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.23% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Lis M. (G) 77. Bayrak O. 4. Altikardes T. 33. Nukan A. 50. Akdag U. 19. Gedik E. 23. Mamah K. 30. Kayan Y. 43. Tijanic D. 8. Palmer R. 18. Diouf M.	1. Kivanc A. (G) 42. Dabo A. 22. Kurucuk F. 23. Korkmaz E. 3. Ozturk H. 10. Oberlin D. 8. Alpsoy H. 47. Yepie Yepie S. 15. Lukaku J. 61. Kot S. 26. Yildirim M.
Substitutes
17. Aksakal E. 3. Dere A. 21. Erdogan D. 11. Ildiz A. 9. Kanatsizkus K. 13. Ozcimen A. (G) 15. Serbest T. 7. Traore A. 88. Uzum F. 6. Yuksel C.	13. Akbulut A. (G) 5. Aktas K. 7. Altunbas M. 11. Ayuk E. 27. Champness J. 28. Diakite C. 78. Fernandes J. 64. Guzelbay C. 77. Katipoglu F. 14. Turker H.
Coaches
Kokovic R.	Pulat O.

Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 11 and 13).

Recent matches Göztepe is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Adanaspor is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Göztepe is a favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Göztepe won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Göztepe won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Göztepe
Turkish First League
23.09.23	Manisa FK - Göztepe	0:1 ✺
17.09.23	Göztepe - Bandırmaspor	1:1 ✺
03.09.23	Altay - Göztepe	0:1 ✺
26.08.23	Göztepe - Çorum	1:2 ✺
19.08.23	Umraniyespor - Göztepe	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 WTWLT
- Adanaspor
Turkish First League
24.09.23	Adanaspor - Erzurumspor	1:0 ✺
17.09.23	Tuzlaspor - Adanaspor	2:1 ✺
01.09.23	Adanaspor - Kocaelispor	0:2 ✺
27.08.23	Keçiörengücü - Adanaspor	1:0 ✺
19.08.23	Adanaspor - Şanlıurfaspor	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.1 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Turkish First League
04.12.22	Adanaspor - Göztepe	2:2
24.01.16	Göztepe - Adanaspor	0:0
23.08.15	Adanaspor - Göztepe	0:2
10.03.13	Adanaspor - Göztepe	2:1
22.10.12	Göztepe - Adanaspor	0:0

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