Match Info

Date: 14 February 2021, Sunday


	Gżira United		Lija Athletic

	1	X	2
	1.22	5.75	8.5
	1.28	5.2	5.8
	1.24	5.4	8.6
	1.22	6.57	11.63
	1.27	5	9
	1.23	5.8	9.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.24 ↓ (1.3)	5.62 ↑ (5.5)	8.89 ↑ (6.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gżira United
73.5%

Draw
16.3%

Lija Athletic
10.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69.4%

16.4%

14.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.8%

9.9%

23.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gżira United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

Lija Athletic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gżira United than the current prediction. (-31.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Gżira United that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lija Athletic than the current prediction. (+13.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lija Athletic could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and outsider (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion to Europa League (Qualification) and 15 in the zone Relegation to Division 1).

Gżira in the last match got a series victories and it is an a fantastic form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Lija Athletic is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Gżira could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Gżira is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Gżira won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 10-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Gżira won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gżira United
Maltese FA Trophy
11.02.21	Gżira United - Mqabba	8:0 ✺
Maltese Premier League
06.02.21	Mosta - Gżira United	1:2 ✺
03.02.21	Gudja United - Gżira United	1:1 ✺
31.01.21	Gżira United - Valletta	2:0 ✺
22.01.21	Tarxien Rainbows - Gżira United	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WWTWW
- Lija Athletic
Maltese FA Trophy
09.02.21	Birkirkara - Lija Athletic	6:0 ✺
Maltese Premier League
06.02.21	Lija Athletic - Balzan	1:1 ✺
03.02.21	Lija Athletic - Tarxien Rainbows	2:0 ✺
31.01.21	Birkirkara - Lija Athletic	4:1 ✺
27.01.21	Floriana - Lija Athletic	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.7 LTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Maltese Premier League
20.10.20	Lija Athletic - Gżira United	0:3
18.12.17	Gżira United - Lija Athletic	3:2
18.08.17	Lija Athletic - Gżira United	0:4

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