Match Info

Date: 6 February 2021, Saturday


	Lija Athletic		Balzan

	1	X	2
	4.25	4	1.6
	4.6	3.85	1.5
	4.6	4.1	1.53
	4.72	4.18	1.67
	5	3.9	1.55
	4.75	4.05	1.59
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.65 ↓ (4.96)	4.01 ↑ (4)	1.57 ↑ (1.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lija Athletic
19.5%

Draw
22.7%

Balzan
57.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.1%

22.4%

59.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28%

14.5%

38.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lija Athletic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Balzan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lija Athletic than the current prediction. (+8.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lija Athletic, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Balzan than the current prediction. (-19.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Balzan, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 14 in the zone Relegation to Division 1 and 13 in the zone Relegation to Division 1).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Balzan could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Balzan have a series of home games.

In this match Balzan is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Lija Athletic won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 4-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Lija Athletic won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lija Athletic
Maltese Premier League
03.02.21	Lija Athletic - Tarxien Rainbows	2:0 ✺
31.01.21	Birkirkara - Lija Athletic	4:1 ✺
27.01.21	Floriana - Lija Athletic	1:2 ✺
23.01.21	Lija Athletic - Gudja United	0:1 ✺
18.12.20	Lija Athletic - Valletta	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.7 WLWLL
- Balzan FC
Maltese Premier League
29.01.21	Balzan - Mosta	4:1 ✺
22.01.21	Valletta - Balzan	1:0 ✺
16.01.21	Balzan - Tarxien Rainbows	0:1 ✺
09.01.21	Balzan - Sirens	1:0 ✺
05.01.21	Balzan - Santa Lucia	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 WLLWT

Latest Head to Head

Maltese Premier League
17.10.20	Balzan - Lija Athletic	1:0
24.02.18	Lija Athletic - Balzan	0:3
Maltese FA Trophy
17.02.18	Lija Athletic - Balzan	1:3
Maltese Premier League
29.09.17	Balzan - Lija Athletic	4:3

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