Match Info

Premier League - First stage - Main - Round 8

Date: 2 October 2025, Thursday

Location: Centenary Stadium (Ta' Qali)

Referee: Casha D. (Mlt)

Where to Watch on TV:


Malta	TVM Sport+


	Mosta		Gżira United

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.65	3.3	1.85	Watch
	3.65	3.23	1.92
	1.61	3.87	4.97	Watch
	3.81	3.35	1.86
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.18 ↓ (3.94)	3.44 ↓ (3.54)	2.65 ↑ (1.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Mosta
32%

Draw
29.6%

Gżira United
38.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.3%

25.9%

50.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.2%

20.7%

40.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mosta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Mosta's performance.

Gżira United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Gżira United might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mosta than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gżira United than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Mosta - Gżira United Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Gżira will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Gżira (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Mosta (2.24) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Mosta (votes: 1 - 50%). Gżira (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Udoh A. (G) 21. Agius 3. Bolanos M. 9. Daniel GTA 26. Emmanuel P. 10. Giancarlo 23. Hurtado Q. 14. Joao Victor 30. Okereke C. 16. Sciberras G. (C) 74. Vassallo J.	33. Colombo E. (G) 9. Andre Carlos 19. Becerra J. 57. Bonilla J. 6. Borg A. 13. Failla C. 4. Fonseca P. 98. Kante 3. Mentz G. (C) 14. Riascos L. 30. Xuereb D.
Substitutes
2. Agius A. 77. Brincat Z. 97. Caio Sena 20. Caruana R. 11. Chibuike C. 8. Eke C. 33. Farrugia B. 99. Farrugia J. (G) 4. Farrugia K. 13. Luke U. 7. Scerri J.	5. Abela D. 25. Bartolo J. 96. Bonilha 8. Borg B. 29. Conti M. 20. Galea K. (G) 23. Ghigo G. 7. Martinez S. 1. Sargent K. (G) 2. Thompson L. 22. Van de Bovenkamp M.
Coaches
Grech J.	Abdilla D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
26', 1 - 0, Emmanuel P. ⚽,
29', Vassallo J. 🟨,
38', 1 - 1, Andre Carlos ⚽,
41', 1 - 2, Andre Carlos ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
47', 1 - 3, Kante ⚽,
52', 2 - 3, Daniel GTA ⚽,
57', Hurtado Q. ↓, Chibuike C. ↑,
60', Okereke C. 🟨,
61', 2 - 4, Riascos L. ⚽,
65', Daniel GTA ↓, Scerri J. ↑,
65', Agius ↓, Brincat Z. ↑,
68', 3 - 4, Brincat Z. ⚽,
71', Becerra J. 🟨,
72', Xuereb D. ↓, Bonilha ↑,
86', 🟨,

Preview

In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 11 in the zone Premier League (First stage ~ Play Out: ) and 12 in the zone Premier League (First stage ~ Play Out: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mosta won 2.

Mosta has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Gżira's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Recently, Gżira has had a series of away games.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Mosta won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 26:45. (average 1.4:2.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Mosta won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 12:20. (average 1.2:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mosta FC
Maltese Premier League
27.09.25	Mosta - Floriana	0:1 ✺
24.09.25	Valletta - Mosta	4:1 ✺
21.09.25	Birkirkara - Mosta	2:0 ✺
17.09.25	Mosta - Paola Hibernians	2:2 ✺
13.09.25	Hamrun Spartans - Mosta	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLLTL
- Gżira United
Maltese Premier League
28.09.25	Żabbar St. Patrick - Gżira United	2:0 ✺
24.09.25	Sliema Wanderers - Gżira United	2:0 ✺
20.09.25	Hamrun Spartans - Gżira United	0:0 ✺
17.09.25	Marsaxlokk - Gżira United	2:0 ✺
12.09.25	Floriana - Gżira United	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 LLTLT

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
09.08.25	Mosta - Gżira United	1:0
Maltese Premier League
04.01.25	Mosta - Gżira United	1:0
29.08.24	Gżira United - Mosta	2:0
17.03.24	Gżira United - Mosta	2:1
26.11.23	Mosta - Gżira United	0:3
01.04.23	Gżira United - Mosta	1:2
04.11.22	Mosta - Gżira United	0:2

Upcoming Matches