Match Info

Gaucho 2 - Round 12

Date: 16 September 2026, Wednesday


	GE Glória		Frederiquense

	1	X	2
	2.50	2.65	2.87
	2.50	2.60	2.70
	2.57	2.68	2.87
	2.59	2.74	2.93	Watch
	2.50	2.65	2.80
	2.55	2.66	2.82
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.54 ↑ (2.52)	2.66 ↑ (2.6)	2.83 ↓ (2.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

GE Glória
35.1%

Draw
33.4%

Frederiquense
31.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.3%

34.2%

30.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.5%

34.4%

30.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

GE Glória has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Frederiquense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for GE Glória than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Frederiquense than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

GE Glória - Frederiquense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
2nd Half (2 - 2)

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 14 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Gaucho 2 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Glória won 1.

Glória has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Frederiquense is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Frederiquense may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Glória won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:8. (average 0.8:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Glória won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- GE Glória
Brazilian Campeonato Gaucho 2
13.09.26	GE Bagé - GE Glória	0:2 ✺
10.09.26	Gaúcho - GE Glória	2:1 ✺
01.09.26	GE Glória - Esportivo Bento Gonçalves	2:1 ✺
26.08.26	EC Pelotas - GE Glória	2:1 ✺
15.08.26	GE Glória - APAFUT	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.4 WLWLT
- União Frederiquense de Futebol
Brazilian Campeonato Gaucho 2
13.09.26	Frederiquense - Brasil de Pelotas	0:0 ✺
09.09.26	Lajeadense - Frederiquense	1:2 ✺
06.09.26	Frederiquense - Santa Cruz-RS	0:0 ✺
01.09.26	Frederiquense - Veranopolis	1:0 ✺
20.08.26	Brasil de Farroupilha - Frederiquense	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 TWTWT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Gaucho 2
23.05.25	Frederiquense - GE Glória	2:2
07.07.24	Frederiquense - GE Glória	1:0
20.04.24	GE Glória - Frederiquense	2:1
22.04.23	Frederiquense - GE Glória	1:0
08.09.21	GE Glória - Frederiquense	1:1
05.09.21	Frederiquense - GE Glória	2:0

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