Match Info

POLAND: III Liga - Group I - Round 25

Date: 13 April 2024, Saturday

Location: GIEKSA Arena (Bełchatów)


	GKS Bełchatów		Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki

	1	X	2
	2.45	3.4	2.37
	2.5	3.54	2.51	Watch
	2.42	3.45	2.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.46 ↑ (2.4)	3.46 ↑ (3.45)	2.44 ↓ (2.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

GKS Bełchatów
36.8%

Draw
26.1%

Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki
37%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.9%

26.4%

35.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41%

28.6%

33%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

GKS Bełchatów has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for GKS Bełchatów than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki than the current prediction. (-4%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Recent matches Bełchatów is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Bełchatów won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Bełchatów won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- GKS Bełchatów
Polish Division 3 - Group I
05.04.24	Unia Skierniewice - GKS Bełchatów	3:2 ✺
30.03.24	GKS Bełchatów - Pilica Białobrzegi	2:1 ✺
23.03.24	Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki - GKS Bełchatów	0:2 ✺
16.03.24	GKS Bełchatów - Mławianka Mława	0:2 ✺
10.03.24	Concordia Elbląg - GKS Bełchatów	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LWWLT
- Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki
Polish Division 3 - Group I
06.04.24	Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - Jagiellonia II Białystok	4:0 ✺
30.03.24	Legionovia Legionowo - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki	1:3 ✺
23.03.24	Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - Wikielec	5:0 ✺
16.03.24	Warta Sieradz - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki	1:2 ✺
09.03.24	Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - Victoria Sulejówek	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group I
16.09.23	Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - GKS Bełchatów	3:1
Polish Division 2
02.10.21	GKS Bełchatów - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki	0:0

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