Match Info

Date: 5 December 2021, Sunday


	GKS Bełchatów		Ruch Chorzów

	1	X	2
	3.5	3.5	1.82
	4	2.9	1.89
	3.6	3.35	1.87
	4.23	3.34	1.89
	3.5	3.5	1.83
	4.15	3.28	1.85	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.83 ↑ (3.44)	3.31 ↓ (3.4)	1.86 ↓ (1.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

GKS Bełchatów
23.7%

Draw
27.4%

Ruch Chorzów
48.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.6%

26.9%

46.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.1%

21.3%

58.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

GKS Bełchatów has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

Ruch Chorzów has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for GKS Bełchatów than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ruch Chorzów than the current prediction. (+9.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ruch Chorzów could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

GKS Bełchatów - Ruch Chorzów Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 1).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Ruch Chorzów could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Ruch Chorzów is a favorite.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Bełchatów won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 9-14.

Including matches at home between the teams Bełchatów won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- GKS Bełchatów
Polish Division 2
27.11.21	Znicz Pruszków - GKS Bełchatów	0:0 ✺
20.11.21	GKS Bełchatów - Wisła Puławy	1:1 ✺
13.11.21	GKS Bełchatów - Radunia Stężyca	0:2 ✺
05.11.21	Stal Rzeszów - GKS Bełchatów	3:0 ✺
30.10.21	GKS Bełchatów - Sokół Ostróda	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 TTLLW
- Ruch Chorzów
Polish Division 2
01.12.21	Pogoń Siedlce - Ruch Chorzów	1:1 ✺
26.11.21	Ruch Chorzów - Motor Lublin	0:0 ✺
14.11.21	Hutnik - Ruch Chorzów	2:0 ✺
06.11.21	Ruch Chorzów - Śląsk Wrocław 2	5:2 ✺
30.10.21	Ruch Chorzów - Olimpia Elbląg	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 TTLWW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 2
14.08.21	Ruch Chorzów - GKS Bełchatów	4:0
02.03.19	GKS Bełchatów - Ruch Chorzów	1:0
17.08.18	Ruch Chorzów - GKS Bełchatów	2:2
Polish Ekstraklasa
25.05.15	Ruch Chorzów - GKS Bełchatów	2:4
16.03.15	GKS Bełchatów - Ruch Chorzów	0:1
21.09.14	Ruch Chorzów - GKS Bełchatów	0:1
13.04.13	GKS Bełchatów - Ruch Chorzów	0:3

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