Match Info

III Liga - Group I - Round 26

Date: 19 April 2025, Saturday

Location: GIEKSA Arena (Bełchatów)


	GKS Bełchatów		Polonia Lidzbark Warmiński

	1	X	2
	1.9	3.7	3
	2.1	3.75	2.8
	1.88	4.05	3.04
	1.94	4.11	3.05	Watch
	1.91	3.95	3.1
	2.1	3.75	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.97 ↑ (1.93)	3.89 ↑ (3.75)	2.97 ↓ (3.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

GKS Bełchatów
46%

Draw
23.4%

Polonia Lidzbark Warmiński
30.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.6%

24%

29.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.6%

25%

28.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

GKS Bełchatów has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Polonia Lidzbark Warmiński has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for GKS Bełchatów than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Polonia Lidzbark Warmiński than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

GKS Bełchatów - Polonia Lidzbark Warmiński Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Bełchatów (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 7 and 17 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Bełchatów is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Lidzbark Warmiński is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Bełchatów will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Bełchatów won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- GKS Bełchatów
Polish Division 3 - Group I
12.04.25	Unia Skierniewice - GKS Bełchatów	5:0 ✺
05.04.25	GKS Bełchatów - Legia II	2:4 ✺
29.03.25	ŁKS Łomża - GKS Bełchatów	1:1 ✺
22.03.25	GKS Bełchatów - Sokół Aleksandrów Łódzki	3:2 ✺
15.03.25	Jagiellonia II Białystok - GKS Bełchatów	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 LLTWW
- Polonia Lidzbark Warmiński
Polish Division 3 - Group I
12.04.25	Polonia Lidzbark Warmiński - Legia II	1:1 ✺
05.04.25	Sokół Aleksandrów Łódzki - Polonia Lidzbark Warmiński	0:1 ✺
29.03.25	Polonia Lidzbark Warmiński - Wigry Suwałki	0:0 ✺
22.03.25	Mławianka Mława - Polonia Lidzbark Warmiński	1:1 ✺
15.03.25	Polonia Lidzbark Warmiński - Wikielec	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 TWTTW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group I
20.09.24	Polonia Lidzbark Warmiński - GKS Bełchatów	3:3

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