Match Info

III Liga - Group I - Round 18

Date: 22 November 2025, Saturday


	Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki		Wasilków

	1	X	2
	1.5	4.15	4.85
	1.55	4.05	5.00	Watch
	1.5	4.1	5.23	Watch
	1.52	4.2	4.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 ↑ (1.41)	4.13 ↓ (4.5)	4.96 ↓ (5.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki
59.7%

Draw
22%

Wasilków
18.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.1%

19.8%

17.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44%

13.8%

24.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

Wasilków has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki than the current prediction. (-15.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wasilków than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Wasilków could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki - Wasilków Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
20', 🟥,
24', 1 - 0, Wojciechowski M. ⚽,
41', 2 - 0, Olpinski A. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
49', 3 - 0, Glowacki S. ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 8 and 17 in the zone Relegation).

Świt has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Wasilków is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Recently, Wasilków has had a series of away games.

In this match, Świt is seen as the favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Świt won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 12:1. (average 4:0.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Świt won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:1. (average 4.5:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki
Polish Division 3 - Group I
15.11.25	Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki - Wigry Suwałki	2:3 ✺
09.11.25	Wisła Płock II - Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki	1:1 ✺
31.10.25	Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki - Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki	1:1 ✺
25.10.25	ŁKS Łomża - Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki	3:0 ✺
18.10.25	Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki - Znicz Biała Piska	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LTTLW
- KS Wasilków
Polish Division 3 - Group I
15.11.25	Wasilków - Jagiellonia II Białystok	0:1 ✺
08.11.25	Broń Radom - Wasilków	2:1 ✺
30.10.25	Wigry Suwałki - Wasilków	4:1 ✺
25.10.25	Znicz Biała Piska - Wasilków	1:0 ✺
17.10.25	Warta Sieradz - Wasilków	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group I
01.08.25	Wasilków - Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki	0:3
05.09.20	Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki - Wasilków	2:0
17.11.19	Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki - Wasilków	7:1

Upcoming Matches