Match Info

III Liga - Group I - Round 17

Date: 15 November 2025, Saturday

Location: GIEKSA Arena (Bełchatów)


	GKS Bełchatów		Wisła Płock II

	1	X	2
	2.52	3.5	2.3
	2.54	3.68	2.29
	2.48	3.60	2.43	Watch
	2.54	3.52	2.3	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.52 ↑ (2.44)	3.58 ↑ (3.53)	2.33 ↓ (2.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

GKS Bełchatów
35.9%

Draw
25.3%

Wisła Płock II
38.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37%

25.6%

37.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.8%

25.5%

37.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

GKS Bełchatów has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Wisła Płock II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for GKS Bełchatów than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wisła Płock II than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

GKS Bełchatów - Wisła Płock II Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
13', 0 - 1, Lodzinski F. ⚽,
22', 1 - 1, Poplawski K. ⚽,
37', 2 - 1, Poplawski K. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 3)
50', 3 - 1, Wysinski N. ⚽,
56', 3 - 2, Wysinski N. ⚽,
62', 3 - 3, Lodzinski F. ⚽,
90', 3 - 4, Lapinski S. ⚽,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 14 and 7).

Bełchatów is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).

In recent matches, Wisła Płock II has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Bełchatów won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:7. (average 2:3.5).

Including home match between the teams, Bełchatów won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4.

Last Results with these Odds

GKS Bełchatów - the odds 2.44 are the expected chance of winning is 37%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- GKS Bełchatów
Polish Division 3 - Group I
08.11.25	Jagiellonia II Białystok - GKS Bełchatów	1:0 ✺
02.11.25	GKS Bełchatów - ŁKS Łomża	1:4 ✺
26.10.25	Widzew Łódź II - GKS Bełchatów	3:0 ✺
18.10.25	GKS Bełchatów - Wikielec	1:1 ✺
11.10.25	Olimpia Elbląg - GKS Bełchatów	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLTL
- Wisła Płock II
Polish Division 3 - Group I
09.11.25	Wisła Płock II - Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki	1:1 ✺
02.11.25	Olimpia Elbląg - Wisła Płock II	2:1 ✺
25.10.25	Wisła Płock II - Warta Sieradz	2:1 ✺
18.10.25	Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki - Wisła Płock II	4:1 ✺
12.10.25	Widzew Łódź II - Wisła Płock II	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 TLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group I
07.06.25	GKS Bełchatów - Wisła Płock II	3:4
16.11.24	Wisła Płock II - GKS Bełchatów	3:1

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