Match Info

III Liga - Group I - Round 17

Date: 15 November 2025, Saturday


	Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki		Wigry Suwałki

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.6	2.78
	2.14	3.7	2.6
	2.09	3.74	2.88	Watch
	2.13	3.56	2.85	Watch
	2.57	3.55	2.23
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.21 ↓ (2.57)	3.63 ↑ (3.55)	2.67 ↑ (2.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki
41.1%

Draw
25%

Wigry Suwałki
34%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.8%

25.2%

40.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.7%

25.1%

40.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki's performance.

Wigry Suwałki has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Wigry Suwałki might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wigry Suwałki than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Wigry Suwałki could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki - Wigry Suwałki Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
9', 0 - 1, Guzdek B. ⚽,
42', 1 - 1, Paszkiel M. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
52', 1 - 2, Pajnowski K. ⚽,
81', 1 - 3, ⚽,
82', 2 - 3, Jaroszewski M. ⚽,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 8 and 5).

In recent matches, Świt has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Wigry is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Recently, Wigry has had a series of home games.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Świt won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:6. (average 0.8:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Świt won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:6. (average 0.7:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki
Polish Division 3 - Group I
09.11.25	Wisła Płock II - Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki	1:1 ✺
31.10.25	Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki - Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki	1:1 ✺
25.10.25	ŁKS Łomża - Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki	3:0 ✺
18.10.25	Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki - Znicz Biała Piska	4:0 ✺
11.10.25	Wikielec - Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 TTLWW
- Wigry Suwałki
Polish Division 3 - Group I
08.11.25	Wigry Suwałki - Warta Sieradz	1:2 ✺
30.10.25	Wigry Suwałki - Wasilków	4:1 ✺
25.10.25	Wigry Suwałki - Olimpia Elbląg	4:1 ✺
18.10.25	Mławianka Mława - Wigry Suwałki	1:2 ✺
12.10.25	Wigry Suwałki - Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group I
18.04.25	Wigry Suwałki - Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki	0:1
21.09.24	Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki - Wigry Suwałki	0:3
Club Friendly
23.01.21	Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki - Wigry Suwałki	2:2
Polish Cup
23.07.16	Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki - Wigry Suwałki	0:1

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