Match Info

Division 2 - Round 32

Date: 23 May 2025, Friday

Location: Stadion Miejski (Jastrzebie-Zdroj)

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	sport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app


	GKS Jastrzębie		Zagłębie 2 Lubin

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.3	2.75
	2.18	3.4	2.85
	2	3.81	3.21
	2.41	3.45	2.77	Watch
	2.2	3.25	2.8
	2.35	3.39	2.87	Watch
	2.18	3.4	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.21 ↓ (2.25)	3.43 ↑ (3.2)	2.87 ↑ (2.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

GKS Jastrzębie
41.4%

Draw
26.7%

Zagłębie 2 Lubin
31.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.9%

28%

32.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.3%

27.1%

31%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

GKS Jastrzębie has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Zagłębie 2 Lubin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for GKS Jastrzębie than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zagłębie 2 Lubin than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

GKS Jastrzębie - Zagłębie 2 Lubin Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. GKS Jastrzębie (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - GKS Jastrzębie (1.67) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. GKS Jastrzębie (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Drazik G. (G) 10. Ali F. 18. Bednarski M. 17. Fietz K. 24. Iskra J. 22. Masiak K. 16. Piatek J. (C) 48. Piatek K. 4. Rogala S. 7. Sliwa M. 3. Szwiec D.	1. Matys M. (G) 4. Abrahamsson A. 8. Adamczyk H. 10. Adamski R. 20. Dziewiatowski M. 5. Koczy K. 7. Kruszelnicki P. 11. Laskowski K. 3. Lepczynski K. 9. Wozniak A. (C) 2. Zynek B.
Substitutes
25. Baranowski P. 28. Czerwik J. 27. Jakuc O. 5. Kucharczyk P. 77. Madembo T. 90. Matysek S. 20. Paprzycki O. 98. Siga J. 12. Trojanowski J. (G)	. Bondarenko M. 19. Czekala M. . Drozdzik O. . Gregorski D. . Lipp M. 14. Moczynski B. . Rachubinski M. 12. Slobodzian D. (G) 15. Starosta T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
23', Dziewiatowski M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
61', 🟨,
88', 🟨,
90', 1 - 0, ⚽,
90+2', 🟨,

Preview

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 14 in the zone Division 2 (Relegation ~ Play Offs: ) and 16 in the zone Relegation).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, GKS Jastrzębie won 3.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, GKS Jastrzębie won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 10:7. (average 1.7:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, GKS Jastrzębie won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 2:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- GKS 1962 Jastrzębie
Polish Division 2
16.05.25	Resovia Rzeszów - GKS Jastrzębie	0:1 ✺
10.05.25	GKS Jastrzębie - Rekord Bielsko-Biała	1:0 ✺
03.05.25	Olimpia Grudziądz - GKS Jastrzębie	1:0 ✺
27.04.25	GKS Jastrzębie - Zagłębie Sosnowiec	1:0 ✺
19.04.25	Chojniczanka Chojnice - GKS Jastrzębie	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.6 WWLWL
- Zagłębie 2 Lubin
Polish Division 2
17.05.25	Zagłębie 2 Lubin - Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała	1:4 ✺
10.05.25	Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - Zagłębie 2 Lubin	2:0 ✺
04.05.25	Zagłębie 2 Lubin - Olimpia Elbląg	4:2 ✺
27.04.25	Hutnik - Zagłębie 2 Lubin	2:1 ✺
17.04.25	Zagłębie 2 Lubin - KKS Kalisz	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 2
27.10.24	Zagłębie 2 Lubin - GKS Jastrzębie	1:2
27.04.24	GKS Jastrzębie - Zagłębie 2 Lubin	1:0
Club Friendly
03.02.24	Zagłębie 2 Lubin - GKS Jastrzębie	3:1
Polish Division 2
26.10.23	Zagłębie 2 Lubin - GKS Jastrzębie	1:1
23.04.23	Zagłębie 2 Lubin - GKS Jastrzębie	1:2
18.09.22	GKS Jastrzębie - Zagłębie 2 Lubin	3:1

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