Match Info

Division 2 - Round 30

Date: 10 May 2025, Saturday

Location: Stadion Miejski (Grodzisk Mazowiecki)

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	sport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app


	Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki		Zagłębie 2 Lubin

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.51	4.2	4.6
	1.38	4.6	6.2	Watch
	1.43	4.77	6.03
	1.44	4.59	6.45	Watch
	1.5	4	5
	1.34	4.65	7.26	Watch
	1.38	4.6	6.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.43 ↓ (1.51)	4.49 ↑ (4.22)	5.96 ↑ (5.16)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki
64.2%

Draw
20.4%

Zagłębie 2 Lubin
15.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.5%

21.7%

17.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57%

20.4%

18.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

Zagłębie 2 Lubin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki than the current prediction. (-7.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zagłębie 2 Lubin than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - Zagłębie 2 Lubin Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Sydorenko D. (G) 7. Apolinarski J. 5. Dias M. 16. Gajgier A. 10. Jaron D. (C) 13. Lis J. 21. Los K. 15. Niski N. 99. Noiszewski K. 9. Odolak K. 23. Sommerfeld K.	. Matysek A. (G) . Abrahamsson A. . Adamczyk H. . Bondarenko M. . Fritzson L. . Gregorski D. . Jach J. . Kruszelnicki P. . Laskowski K. . Wandachowicz B. . Zynek B.
Substitutes
8. Bahonko E. 11. Dziegielewski D. 2. Farbiszewski B. 4. Korczakowski I. 17. Niewiadomski J. 18. Paclawski N. 26. Piwowarczyk J. 6. Skowronski G. 98. Szpaderski J. (G)	. Antkiewicz F. . Czekala M. . Drozdzik O. . Koczy K. . Lipp M. . Nowogonski K. . Rachubinski M. . Slobodzian D. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
16', Abrahamsson A. 🟨,
23', Jach J. 🟨,
40', Noiszewski K. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
48', 1 - 0, Jaron D. ⚽,
50', 2 - 0, Sommerfeld K. ⚽,
61', Gregorski D. ↓, Antkiewicz F. ↑,
72', Laskowski K. ↓, Nowogonski K. ↑,
73', Jaron D. ↓, Korczakowski I. ↑,
78', Odolak K. ↓, Bahonko E. ↑,
89', Apolinarski J. ↓, Niewiadomski J. ↑,

Preview

Grodzisk Mazowiecki has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Zagłębie 2 is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Grodzisk Mazowiecki is considered a favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Grodzisk Mazowiecki won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki
Polish Division 2
04.05.25	Resovia Rzeszów - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki	2:0 ✺
26.04.25	Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - Rekord Bielsko-Biała	2:2 ✺
19.04.25	Olimpia Grudziądz - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki	2:1 ✺
12.04.25	Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - Zagłębie Sosnowiec	3:2 ✺
06.04.25	Chojniczanka Chojnice - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LTLWL
- Zagłębie 2 Lubin
Polish Division 2
04.05.25	Zagłębie 2 Lubin - Olimpia Elbląg	4:2 ✺
27.04.25	Hutnik - Zagłębie 2 Lubin	2:1 ✺
17.04.25	Zagłębie 2 Lubin - KKS Kalisz	2:0 ✺
12.04.25	ŁKS Łódź II - Zagłębie 2 Lubin	0:3 ✺
09.04.25	Rekord Bielsko-Biała - Zagłębie 2 Lubin	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 WLWWT

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 2
23.10.24	Zagłębie 2 Lubin - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki	0:2

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