Match Info

Date: 14 May 2022, Saturday

Location: Stadion Miejski (Jastrzebie-Zdroj)

Referee: Opalinski M. (Pol)


	GKS Jastrzębie		GKS Tychy

	1	X	2
	4.2	3.6	1.72
	4.1	3.6	1.75
	4.5	3.5	1.7
	4.3	3.65	1.72
	4.54	3.98	1.77
	4.2	3.3	1.75
	4.33	3.8	1.77
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.31 ↑ (3.22)	3.63 ↑ (3.29)	1.74 ↓ (2.19)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

GKS Jastrzębie
21.4%

Draw
25.4%

GKS Tychy
53.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29%

28.3%

42.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.1%

27.4%

44.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

GKS Jastrzębie has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that GKS Jastrzębie's form might have worsened.

GKS Tychy has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting GKS Tychy's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for GKS Jastrzębie than the current prediction. (+6.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for GKS Jastrzębie, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for GKS Tychy than the current prediction. (-9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for GKS Tychy, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

GKS Jastrzębie - GKS Tychy Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. GKS Jastrzębie will win (votes: 2 - 25%). GKS Tychy will win (votes: 6 - 75%).
Confidence interval (95%) for GKS Tychy: 45% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

A team from the mid-table and outsider will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 2 and 10).

GKS Jastrzębie is Relegated to Division 2

Last 5 head-to-head matches GKS Jastrzębie won 0.

GKS Jastrzębie has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches GKS Tychy is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match GKS Tychy is a favorite.

Last 9 head-to-head matches GKS Jastrzębie won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 12-21.

Including matches at home between the teams GKS Jastrzębie won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5-8.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- GKS 1962 Jastrzębie
Polish Division 1
07.05.22	GKS Katowice - GKS Jastrzębie	3:1 ✺
01.05.22	GKS Jastrzębie - Odra Opole	1:3 ✺
27.04.22	Polkowice - GKS Jastrzębie	1:0 ✺
23.04.22	GKS Jastrzębie - Widzew Łódź	0:2 ✺
14.04.22	Arka Gdynia - GKS Jastrzębie	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- GKS Tychy
Polish Division 1
07.05.22	GKS Tychy - Puszcza Niepołomice	3:1 ✺
02.05.22	Skra Częstochowa - GKS Tychy	1:0 ✺
28.04.22	Stomil Olsztyn - GKS Tychy	2:1 ✺
24.04.22	GKS Tychy - GKS Katowice	1:1 ✺
19.04.22	Odra Opole - GKS Tychy	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 WLLTT

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
02.02.22	GKS Tychy - GKS Jastrzębie	2:2
Polish Division 1
06.11.21	GKS Tychy - GKS Jastrzębie	4:1
Club Friendly
24.07.21	GKS Jastrzębie - GKS Tychy	2:5
Polish Division 1
29.04.21	GKS Jastrzębie - GKS Tychy	0:1
23.10.20	GKS Tychy - GKS Jastrzębie	3:1
23.11.19	GKS Tychy - GKS Jastrzębie	2:2
03.08.19	GKS Jastrzębie - GKS Tychy	2:1

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