Match Info

POLAND: Division 1 - Round 32

Date: 10 May 2024, Friday

Location: Tychy City Stadium (Tychy)

Referee: Jarzebak S. (Pol)


	GKS Tychy		GKS Katowice

	1	X	2
	2.63	3.2	2.63
	2.55	3.2	2.55
	2.65	3.3	2.55
	2.81	3.2	2.75
	2.81	3.03	2.75
	2.5	3.25	2.45
	2.61	3.27	2.55
	2.55	3.05	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.64 ↑ (2.41)	3.19 ↓ (3.22)	2.6 ↓ (2.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

GKS Tychy
35.2%

Draw
29.1%

GKS Katowice
35.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.8%

29%

32.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.6%

29.2%

32.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

GKS Tychy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

GKS Katowice has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for GKS Tychy than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for GKS Katowice than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
11.1%	55.6%	33.3%

GKS Tychy - GKS Katowice Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. GKS Tychy will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). GKS Katowice will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Kikolski M. (G) 25. Zytek W. 33. Teclaw J. 17. Blachewicz M. 21. Machowski K. 24. Polap D. 26. Bieronski J. 22. Ertlthaler J. 23. Radecki M. (C) 77. Mikita P. 9. Rumin D.	1. Kudla D. (G) 14. Komor A. 4. Jedrych A. (C) 13. Jaroszek B. 23. Wasielewski M. 5. Repka O. 6. Kozubal A. 17. Marzec M. 11. Blad A. 10. Mak M. 7. Bergier S.
Substitutes
44. Kostrzewski A. (G) 32. Krzak M. 5. Kurtaran T. 10. Mystkowski P. 11. Skibicki K. 18. Spiaczka B. 19. Stangret M. 8. Szpakowski M. 20. Wojtuszek N.	8. Aleman C. 18. Arak J. 21. Baranowicz B. 3. Janiszewski G. 15. Krawczyk S. 19. Pietrzyk K. 16. Rogala G. 31. Shibata S. 33. Szczuka P. (G)
Coaches
Banasik D.	Gorak R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
18', 0 - 1, Jaroszek B. ⚽, Wasielewski M. (A),
29', Marzec M. ↓, Rogala G. ↑,
33', 1 - 1, Polap D. ⚽,
45+2', 2 - 1, Mikita P. ⚽, Rumin D. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
61', 2 - 2, Repka O. ⚽, Kozubal A. (A),
67', Rumin D. ↓, Spiaczka B. ↑,
67', Ertlthaler J. ↓, Szpakowski M. ↑,
75', Mak M. ↓, Aleman C. ↑,
75', Bergier S. ↓, Arak J. ↑,
83', Polap D. ↓, Wojtuszek N. ↑,
90+2', 2 - 3, Arak J. ⚽, Blad A. (A),
90+4', Blad A. ↓, Shibata S. ↑,
90+4', Jaroszek B. ↓, Janiszewski G. ↑,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches GKS Tychy won 1.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 20 head-to-head matches GKS Tychy won 6 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 21-26.

Including matches at home between the teams GKS Tychy won 5 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 11-9.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- GKS Tychy
Polish Division 1
04.05.24	Lechia Gdańsk - GKS Tychy	3:0 ✺
27.04.24	GKS Tychy - Zagłębie Sosnowiec	2:0 ✺
23.04.24	Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała - GKS Tychy	0:2 ✺
20.04.24	GKS Tychy - Resovia Rzeszów	1:3 ✺
14.04.24	Znicz Pruszków - GKS Tychy	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 LWWLW
- GKS Katowice
Polish Division 1
04.05.24	GKS Katowice - Stal Rzeszów	8:0 ✺
28.04.24	Polonia Warsaw - GKS Katowice	1:2 ✺
25.04.24	GKS Katowice - Górnik Łęczna	0:0 ✺
21.04.24	Termalica Nieciecza - GKS Katowice	2:2 ✺
13.04.24	GKS Katowice - Odra Opole	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WWTTL

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
19.01.24	GKS Tychy - GKS Katowice	1:0
Polish Division 1
12.11.23	GKS Katowice - GKS Tychy	1:0
23.04.23	GKS Tychy - GKS Katowice	0:3
Club Friendly
04.02.23	GKS Katowice - GKS Tychy	3:1
Polish Division 1
17.09.22	GKS Katowice - GKS Tychy	1:1
Club Friendly
09.07.22	GKS Tychy - GKS Katowice	0:0
Polish Division 1
24.04.22	GKS Tychy - GKS Katowice	1:1

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