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Current Win Probability
GKS Jastrzębie 30.4%
Draw 28.2%
Sandecja Nowy Sącz 41.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
23.6%
23.6%
52.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
23.2%
23.2%
53.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
GKS Jastrzębie has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in GKS Jastrzębie's performance.
Sandecja Nowy Sącz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sandecja Nowy Sącz might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for GKS Jastrzębie than the current prediction. (-7.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with GKS Jastrzębie that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sandecja Nowy Sącz than the current prediction. (+12.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sandecja Nowy Sącz could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
GKS Jastrzębie - Sandecja Nowy Sącz Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
31. Neugebauer B. (G) 22. Baranowicz B. 14. Gosciniarek K. 15. Gromek W. 11. Jakuc O. 17. Koczy K. 3. Kriegler B. 9. Matysek S. 16. Mroczko S. 20. Osipiak M. 4. Wybraniec N. (C)
71. Jelen M. (G) 47. Blyszko W. 33. Kasprzak B. 19. Kolbon T. 17. Nawotka T. 98. Ogorzaly K. 92. Orzel A. 99. Oure S. 10. Pietraszkiewicz D. 24. Slaby K. (C) 11. Talar K.
Substitutes
23. Bykowski M. 10. Gebala P. 18. Kakolewski I. 1. Molga M. (G) 19. Sawicki W. 2. Tomal J. 13. Zielinski B.
29. Brenkus A. 78. Gorski J. 9. Klos W. 25. Piszczek F. 91. Polacek M. (G) 74. Skalecki P. 16. Smajdor K. 7. Wolsztynski R. 77. Zietek L.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 2)
2', 1 - 0, Kriegler B. ⚽,
13', Wybraniec N. 🟨,
15', 1 - 1, Kolbon T. ⚽,
35', 1 - 2, Talar K. ⚽,
41', 2 - 2, Mroczko S. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Osipiak M. ↓, Bykowski M. ↑,
46', Ogorzaly K. ↓, Smajdor K. ↑,
55', Smajdor K. 🟨,
58', Nawotka T. 🟨,
60', Nawotka T. ↓, Piszczek F. ↑,
60', Talar K. ↓, Wolsztynski R. ↑,
60', 2 - 3, Piszczek F. ⚽,
60', Orzel A. ↓, Zietek L. ↑,
65', Piszczek F. 🟨,
70', Blyszko W. 🟨,
71', Oure S. ↓, Gorski J. ↑,
85', Jelen M. 🟨,
88', 🟨,
90+1', 🟨,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, GKS Jastrzębie won 1.
Recent performances by GKS Jastrzębie have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Sandecja is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
GKS Jastrzębie may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
In the last 10 head-to-head matches, GKS Jastrzębie won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 12:14. (average 1.2:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, GKS Jastrzębie won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:6. (average 1.4:1.2).
Poland
Watch
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Neugebauer B. (G) 
Oure S. 
Kakolewski I. 
Brenkus A. 
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