Match Info

Division 2 - Round 24

Date: 28 March 2025, Friday

Location: Stadion Miejski (Jastrzebie-Zdroj)

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	sport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app


	GKS Jastrzębie		Skra Częstochowa

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.1	3
	2.04	3.2	3.35
	2.07	3.3	3.57	Watch
	2.05	3	3.4
	2.01	3.2	3.47
	2.04	3.2	3.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.05 ↑ (1.85)	3.17 ↓ (3.5)	3.36 ↓ (4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

GKS Jastrzębie
44.3%

Draw
28.7%

Skra Częstochowa
27.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.2%

26.5%

23.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.2%

26.5%

23.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

GKS Jastrzębie has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that GKS Jastrzębie's form might have worsened.

Skra Częstochowa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for GKS Jastrzębie than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for GKS Jastrzębie, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Skra Częstochowa than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

GKS Jastrzębie - Skra Częstochowa Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Drazik G. (G)
10. Ali F.
25. Baranowski P.
17. Fietz K.
24. Iskra J.
47. Kargul-Grobla K.
22. Masiak K.
90. Matysek S.
16. Piatek J. (C)
48. Piatek K.
4. Rogala S.
Substitutes
28. Czerwik J.
31. Flak J.
27. Jakuc O.
11. Kiebzak S.
77. Madembo T.
20. Paprzycki O.
99. Rusin W. (G)
3. Szwiec D.
19. Zych K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
34', 1 - 0, Ali F. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
62', Piatek K. ↓, Madembo T. ↑,
62', Masiak K. ↓, Kiebzak S. ↑,
84', Kargul-Grobla K. 🟨,

Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation and 17 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches GKS Jastrzębie won 2.

Two teams are playing changeable.

GKS Jastrzębie will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 12 head-to-head matches GKS Jastrzębie won 6 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 16:8 (average 1.3:0.7).

Including matches at home between the teams GKS Jastrzębie won 6 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 14:5 (average 1.6:0.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- GKS 1962 Jastrzębie
Polish Division 2
22.03.25	Swit Skolwin - GKS Jastrzębie	3:1 ✺
16.03.25	Polonia Bytom - GKS Jastrzębie	2:0 ✺
08.03.25	GKS Jastrzębie - Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała	0:0 ✺
01.03.25	Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - GKS Jastrzębie	0:3 ✺
Club Friendly
22.02.25	GKS Jastrzębie - LGKS 38 Podlesianka	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.2 LLTWW
- KS Skra Częstochowa
Polish Division 2
21.03.25	Skra Częstochowa - Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała	1:0 ✺
15.03.25	Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - Skra Częstochowa	3:0 ✺
08.03.25	Skra Częstochowa - Olimpia Elbląg	1:0 ✺
02.03.25	Hutnik - Skra Częstochowa	3:1 ✺
Club Friendly
01.02.25	Skra Częstochowa - Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 2
31.08.24	Skra Częstochowa - GKS Jastrzębie	2:1
14.04.24	GKS Jastrzębie - Skra Częstochowa	2:0
Club Friendly
27.01.24	GKS Jastrzębie - Skra Częstochowa	0:0
Polish Division 2
30.09.23	Skra Częstochowa - GKS Jastrzębie	0:0
Club Friendly
01.07.23	GKS Jastrzębie - Skra Częstochowa	2:1
10.12.22	GKS Jastrzębie - Skra Częstochowa	3:1
09.07.22	GKS Jastrzębie - Skra Częstochowa	2:1

GKS Jastrzębie - Skra Częstochowa: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide