Match Info

Ekstraklasa - Round 23

Date: 28 February 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stadion miejski w Katowicach (Katowice) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Gryckiewicz P. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Bosnia And Herzegovina	20:15	Arena Sport 4
Canada	14:15	beIN Connect, beIN Sports XTRA Espanol
Croatia	20:15	Arena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go
Czech Republic	20:15	Sporty TV
Finland	21:15	Veikkaus TV
Poland	20:15	CANAL+ 4K Ultra, CANAL+ Sport 3, Ekstraklasa TV
Serbia	20:15	Arena Sport 1x2
Ukraine	21:15	Sport 1
Usa	14:15	beIN Connect, beIN Sports US XTRA Espanol, Fanatiz, Tubi TV
International	19:15	Sport 1 Baltic


	GKS Katowice		Górnik Zabrze

	1	X	2
	2.6	3.3	2.5	Watch
	2.9	3.3	2.35
	2.68	3.25	2.48	Watch
	2.77	3.33	2.65
	2.74	3.36	2.59	Watch
	2.88	3.25	2.3
	2.68	3.2	2.54	Watch
	3.1	3.2	2.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.79 ↑ (2.52)	3.27 ↑ (3.11)	2.45 ↓ (2.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

GKS Katowice
33.4%

Draw
28.5%

Górnik Zabrze
38.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

35.4%

28.7%

35.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.1%

28.9%

36.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

GKS Katowice has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Górnik Zabrze has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for GKS Katowice than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Górnik Zabrze than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
10%	20%	70%

GKS Katowice - Górnik Zabrze Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. GKS Katowice will win (votes: 1 - 10%). Górnik Zabrze will win (votes: 7 - 70%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Górnik Zabrze: 41.6% – 98.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Górnik Zabrze (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Straczek R. (G) 30. Czerwinski A. 4. Jedrych A. (C) 6. Klemenz L. 97. Jirka E. 22. Milewski S. 77. Kowalczyk M. 23. Wasielewski M. 70. Wdowiak M. 99. Zrelak A. 27. Nowak B.	1. Lubik M. (G) 61. Sacek M. 26. Janicki R. (C) 4. Bochniewicz P. 20. Josema 13. Sadilek L. 8. Hellebrand P. 7. Ikia Dimi Y. 18. Ambros L. 33. Khlan M. 23. Liseth S.
Substitutes
11. Blad A. 8. Galan B. 24. Gruszkowski K. 1. Kudla D. (G) 2. Kuusk M. 15. Markovic E. 26. Rasak D. 80. Shkurin I. 10. Wedrychowski M.	28. Donio B. 14. Kubicki J. 99. Loska T. (G) 15. Massimo R. 16. Olkowski P. 10. Podolski L. 36. Rakoczy M. 77. Rupanov B. 21. Sauer M. 5. Szczesniak K. 67. Zmrzly O.
Coaches
Gorak R.	Gasparik M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
20', Zrelak A. 🟨,
22', Hellebrand P. 🟨,
23', 1 - 0, Nowak B. ⚽,
44', 1 - 1, Liseth S. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Josema ↓, Zmrzly O. ↑,
60', Milewski S. 🟨,
61', Kowalczyk M. ↓, Rasak D. ↑,
61', Jirka E. ↓, Galan B. ↑,
61', Wdowiak M. ↓, Wedrychowski M. ↑,
67', Ikia Dimi Y. ↓, Massimo R. ↑,
67', Sadilek L. ↓, Donio B. ↑,
79', Zrelak A. ↓, Shkurin I. ↑,
85', Ambros L. ↓, Rakoczy M. ↑,
85', Milewski S. ↓, Markovic E. ↑,
86', 2 - 1, Wedrychowski M. ⚽,
90', Hellebrand P. ↓, Rupanov B. ↑,
90+8', 3 - 1, Jedrych A. (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 13 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, GKS Katowice won 1.

GKS Katowice is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Górnik Zabrze's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

GKS Katowice may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Górnik Zabrze has had a series of home games.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

There will not play in GKS Katowice: Bosch J. (Inactive) Paluszek A. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Górnik Zabrze: Lukoszek K. (Inactive)

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, GKS Katowice won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 9:23. (average 0.8:1.9).

Including home matches between the teams, GKS Katowice won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:8. (average 0.8:1.6).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Gornik Zabrze	12	8	3	1	21:11	10	27
8	GKS Katowice	12	6	0	6	22:17	5	18

Outrights of Polish Ekstraklasa for now

Gornik Zabrze: 16.37% GKS Katowice: 1.96%

Last Results with these Odds

GKS Katowice - the odds 2.52 are the expected chance of winning is 35.43%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- GKS Katowice
Polish Ekstraklasa
22.02.26	Arka Gdynia - GKS Katowice	2:1 ✺
13.02.26	GKS Katowice - Legia Warsaw	1:1 ✺
08.02.26	GKS Katowice - Widzew Łódź	1:0 ✺
30.01.26	Zagłębie Lubin - GKS Katowice	0:2 ✺
Club Friendly
20.01.26	GKS Katowice - Bačka Topola	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 LTWWW
- Górnik Zabrze
Polish Ekstraklasa
21.02.26	Górnik Zabrze - Pogoń Szczecin	0:1 ✺
16.02.26	Termalica Nieciecza - Górnik Zabrze	1:1 ✺
07.02.26	Górnik Zabrze - Lech Poznań	0:1 ✺
31.01.26	Górnik Zabrze - Piast Gliwice	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
23.01.26	Górnik Zabrze - Slovan Bratislava	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LTLW?

Latest Head to Head

Polish Ekstraklasa
23.08.25	Górnik Zabrze - GKS Katowice	3:0
30.03.25	GKS Katowice - Górnik Zabrze	2:1
21.09.24	Górnik Zabrze - GKS Katowice	3:0
Polish Cup
27.09.23	GKS Katowice - Górnik Zabrze	0:4
20.10.22	GKS Katowice - Górnik Zabrze	1:2
Club Friendly
22.06.19	Górnik Zabrze - GKS Katowice	2:0
16.11.18	GKS Katowice - Górnik Zabrze	0:0

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