Match Info

Ekstraklasa - Round 21

Date: 16 February 2026, Monday

Location: Termalica Bruk-Bet Nieciecza (Nieciecza)

Referee: Malec P. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Canada	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol
Croatia	Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
Czech-republic	Strike, Strike
Finland	Veikkaus TV
Germany	Sportdigital FUSSBALL
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Poland	CANAL+ Sport 3, CANAL+ Sport 5, Ekstraklasa TV
Serbia	Arena Sport 1x2, Arena Sport 4
Switzerland	Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Usa	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz
World	Onefootball


	Termalica Nieciecza		Górnik Zabrze

	1	X	2
	3.3	3.4	2	Watch
	3.25	3.5	2.1
	3.3	3.45	2.05
	3.65	3.46	2.11
	3.56	3.52	2.07	Watch
	3.3	3.2	2.05
	3.49	3.32	2.06	Watch
	3.6	3.33	2.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.43 ↑ (2.88)	3.4 ↑ (3.1)	2.06 ↓ (2.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Termalica Nieciecza
27.2%

Draw
27.5%

Górnik Zabrze
45.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31%

28.8%

40.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Termalica Nieciecza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

Górnik Zabrze has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Górnik Zabrze's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	10%	70%

Termalica Nieciecza - Górnik Zabrze Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Termalica will win (votes: 2 - 20%). Górnik Zabrze will win (votes: 7 - 70%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 10%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Górnik Zabrze: 41.6% – 98.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Górnik Zabrze (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Termalica (1.62) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Termalica (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Górnik Zabrze (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Chovan A. (G) 29. Isik G. 2. Kopacz B. 3. Kasperkiewicz A. 27. Boboc R. 8. Kurzawa R. 13. Kubica K. 21. Hilbrycht D. 86. Strzalek I. 25. Zapolnik K. (C) 7. Fassbender M.	1. Lubik M. (G) 61. Sacek M. 5. Szczesniak K. 20. Josema 64. Janza E. (C) 13. Sadilek L. 8. Hellebrand P. 14. Kubicki J. 33. Khlan M. 11. Domingues B. 23. Liseth S.
Substitutes
17. Biniek D. 19. Durdov I. 23. Guerrero S. 26. Jakubik W. 9. Jimenez J. 5. Masoero L. 32. Matysik M. 99. Mleczko M. (G) 77. Putivtsev A. 53. Trubeha A. 6. Wolski M.	18. Ambros L. 4. Bochniewicz P. 28. Donio B. 7. Ikia Dimi Y. 99. Loska T. (G) 15. Massimo R. 16. Olkowski P. 10. Podolski L. 36. Rakoczy M. 77. Rupanov B. 21. Sauer M. 27. Szala D.
Coaches
Brosz M.	Gasparik M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
2', 1 - 0, Fassbender M. ⚽,
40', 1 - 1, Kasperkiewicz A. (Own goal),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
67', Zapolnik K. ↓, Durdov I. ↑,
68', Fassbender M. ↓, Jakubik W. ↑,
68', Kurzawa R. ↓, Jimenez J. ↑,
71', Hilbrycht D. 🟨,
74', Hilbrycht D. ↓, Wolski M. ↑,
83', Liseth S. ↓, Rupanov B. ↑,
83', Khlan M. ↓, Massimo R. ↑,
83', Strzalek I. ↓, Biniek D. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Termalica won 2.

Termalica is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Górnik Zabrze may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Górnik Zabrze will hold a modest advantage in this match.

There will not play in Termalica: Ambrosiewicz M. (Yellow Cards)

There will not play in Górnik Zabrze: Janicki R. (Yellow Cards)

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Termalica won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:9. (average 1.1:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Termalica won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:5. (average 1.8:1).

Outrights of Polish Ekstraklasa for now

Gornik Zabrze: 20.78%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Gornik Zabrze	10	8	1	1	19:9	10	25

Last Results with these Odds

Górnik Zabrze - the odds 2.22 are the expected chance of winning is 40.21%, but this team recently wins 80% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Termalica Nieciecza
Polish Ekstraklasa
08.02.26	Pogoń Szczecin - Termalica Nieciecza	1:1 ✺
02.02.26	Termalica Nieciecza - Cracovia	0:1 ✺
Club Friendly
24.01.26	Termalica Nieciecza - Stal Rzeszów	8:1 ✺
16.01.26	Termalica Nieciecza - Spartak Subotica	1:0 ✺
13.01.26	IMT Novi Beograd - Termalica Nieciecza	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.9 TLWWW
- Górnik Zabrze
Polish Ekstraklasa
07.02.26	Górnik Zabrze - Lech Poznań	0:1 ✺
31.01.26	Górnik Zabrze - Piast Gliwice	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
23.01.26	Górnik Zabrze - Slovan Bratislava	Canceled ✺
10.01.26	Žilina - Górnik Zabrze	0:1 ✺
Polish Ekstraklasa
05.12.25	Lechia Gdańsk - Górnik Zabrze	5:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 LW?WL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Ekstraklasa
08.08.25	Górnik Zabrze - Termalica Nieciecza	0:1
20.03.22	Górnik Zabrze - Termalica Nieciecza	1:1
26.09.21	Termalica Nieciecza - Górnik Zabrze	3:1
19.02.18	Górnik Zabrze - Termalica Nieciecza	3:0
10.09.17	Termalica Nieciecza - Górnik Zabrze	1:2
Club Friendly
29.06.16	Termalica Nieciecza - Górnik Zabrze	1:1
Polish Ekstraklasa
14.05.16	Termalica Nieciecza - Górnik Zabrze	1:1

Termalica Nieciecza - Górnik Zabrze: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide