Match Info

Ekstraklasa - Round 22

Date: 22 February 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stadion Miejski w Gdyni (Gdynia) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Malec P. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Bosnia And Herzegovina	12:15	Arena Sport 4
Canada	06:15	beIN Connect
Croatia	12:15	Arena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go
Finland	13:15	Veikkaus TV
Poland	12:15	CANAL+ 360, CANAL+ Sport 3, Ekstraklasa TV
Usa	06:15	beIN Connect, Fanatiz


	Arka Gdynia		GKS Katowice

	1	X	2
	2.63	3.1	2.55	Watch
	2.68	3.1	2.62	Watch
	2.71	3.25	2.77
	2.82	3.13	2.68	Watch
	2.75	2.9	2.6
	2.75	3.02	2.6	Watch
	2.66	3.2	2.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.71 ↑ (2.3)	3.1 ↑ (2.96)	2.64 ↓ (2.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arka Gdynia
34.4%

Draw
30.2%

GKS Katowice
35.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

38.8%

30.2%

31%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arka Gdynia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

GKS Katowice has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
22.2%	55.6%	22.2%

Arka Gdynia - GKS Katowice Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Arka will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). GKS Katowice will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 55.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 23.1% – 88.1%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

DNB - Arka (2.08) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Arka (1.52) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.75 - Arka (3.61) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Arka (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
77. Weglarz D. (G) 3. Szota S. 29. Marcjanik M. 94. Gojny D. (C) 11. Kocyla D. 10. Nguiamba A. 6. Perea L. 7. Kubiak O. 31. Rusyn N. 37. Kerk S. 19. Gutkovskis V.	12. Straczek R. (G) 30. Czerwinski A. 4. Jedrych A. (C) 6. Klemenz L. 23. Wasielewski M. 77. Kowalczyk M. 22. Milewski S. 8. Galan B. 70. Wdowiak M. 99. Zrelak A. 27. Nowak B.
Substitutes
33. Abramowicz D. 99. Espiau Hernandez E. D. 9. Gaprindashvili T. 1. Grobelny J. (G) 23. Hermoso K. 27. Oliveira J. 22. Rzuchowski M. 8. Sidibe A. 21. Szysz P.	11. Blad A. 24. Gruszkowski K. 97. Jirka E. 21. Kokosinski J. 1. Kudla D. (G) 2. Kuusk M. 15. Markovic E. 26. Rasak D. 80. Shkurin I. 18. Swatowski M. 10. Wedrychowski M.
Coaches
Szwarga D.	Gorak R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
1', 0 - 1, Wdowiak M. ⚽, Nowak B. (A),
19', Kubiak O. 🟨,
32', 1 - 1, Marcjanik M. ⚽,
44', 2 - 1, Rusyn N. ⚽, Kerk S. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
59', Gutkovskis V. 🟨,
61', Galan B. 🟨,
61', Rusyn N. 🟨,
62', Kocyla D. ↓, Gaprindashvili T. ↑,
62', Gutkovskis V. ↓, Espiau Hernandez E. D. ↑,
64', Wdowiak M. ↓, Markovic E. ↑,
73', Zrelak A. ↓, Shkurin I. ↑,
73', Galan B. ↓, Gruszkowski K. ↑,
76', Rusyn N. ↓, Szysz P. ↑,
81', Gruszkowski K. 🟨,
83', Kowalczyk M. ↓, Rasak D. ↑,
83', Nowak B. ↓, Blad A. ↑,
90', Kerk S. ↓, Oliveira J. ↑,
90', Perea L. ↓, Rzuchowski M. ↑,
90+1', Marcjanik M. 🟨,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 1 and 12).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Arka won 1.

GKS Katowice is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

GKS Katowice may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

There will not play in Arka: Jakubczyk K. (Yellow Cards) Navarro M. (Yellow Cards)

There will not play in GKS Katowice: Brod A. (Inactive) Jaroszek B. (Inactive) Marzec M. (Inactive) Paluszek A. (Knee Injury) Rejczyk F. (Inactive) Trepka L. (Inactive)

There are questionable in GKS Katowice: Klemenz L. (Injury)

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Arka won 7 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 21:16. (average 1.5:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Arka won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:6. (average 1.7:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	GKS Katowice	12	6	0	6	22:17	5	18

Outrights of Polish Ekstraklasa for now

GKS Katowice: 1.96%

Last Results with these Odds

GKS Katowice - the odds 2.88 are the expected chance of winning is 31.01%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arka Gdynia
Polish Ekstraklasa
15.02.26	Pogoń Szczecin - Arka Gdynia	1:0 ✺
07.02.26	Arka Gdynia - Legia Warsaw	2:2 ✺
06.12.25	Arka Gdynia - Motor Lublin	1:0 ✺
30.11.25	Arka Gdynia - Raków Częstochowa	1:4 ✺
21.11.25	Termalica Nieciecza - Arka Gdynia	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 LTWLL
- GKS Katowice
Polish Ekstraklasa
13.02.26	GKS Katowice - Legia Warsaw	1:1 ✺
08.02.26	GKS Katowice - Widzew Łódź	1:0 ✺
30.01.26	Zagłębie Lubin - GKS Katowice	0:2 ✺
Club Friendly
20.01.26	GKS Katowice - Bačka Topola	2:1 ✺
14.01.26	Jablonec - GKS Katowice	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 TWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Ekstraklasa
16.08.25	GKS Katowice - Arka Gdynia	4:1
Polish Division 1
26.05.24	Arka Gdynia - GKS Katowice	0:1
02.12.23	GKS Katowice - Arka Gdynia	1:1
01.04.23	Arka Gdynia - GKS Katowice	2:2
28.08.22	GKS Katowice - Arka Gdynia	0:1
19.03.22	Arka Gdynia - GKS Katowice	2:2
16.09.21	GKS Katowice - Arka Gdynia	2:4

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