Match Info

POLAND: Division 1 - Round 10

Date: 22 September 2024, Sunday

Location: Tychy City Stadium (Tychy)

Referee: Szczech L. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	sport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app


	GKS Tychy		Stal Stalowa Wola

	1	X	2
	1.6	3.7	5.5
	1.58	3.8	5
	1.6	4	5	Watch
	1.6	4.15	5.44
	1.59	3.95	5.42	Watch
	1.53	3.75	5.5
	1.57	3.9	5.4	Watch
	1.5	3.85	5.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.57 ↓ (1.58)	3.89 ↓ (3.92)	5.32 ↑ (5.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

GKS Tychy
58.8%

Draw
23.8%

Stal Stalowa Wola
17.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.5%

23.6%

17.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.2%

22.9%

17.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

GKS Tychy has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Stal Stalowa Wola has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for GKS Tychy than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

The ML Model estimate for Stal Stalowa Wola aligns with the current prediction.

GKS Tychy - Stal Stalowa Wola Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Lubik M. (G) 37. Keiblinger J. 6. Nedic N. 3. Teclaw J. 4. Dijakovic M. 23. Dziuba M. 5. Kurtaran T. 22. Ertlthaler J. 77. Kubik T. 10. Spiaczka B. 18. Makowski R.	1. Wilk A. (G) 87. Kowalski J. (C) 4. Furtak L. 22. Banach J. 26. Zaucha P. 29. Ruszel M. 20. Pioterczak B. 16. Lelek K. 24. Urban D. 30. Wojtkowski K. 97. Joao Tavares
Substitutes
15. Bieronski J. 11. Blachewicz M. 16. Budnicki J. 38. Gebala P. 31. Kolotylo K. (G) 29. Matyskiewicz D. 7. Niewiarowski W. 9. Rumin D. 8. Szpakowski M.	77. Chelmecki K. 7. Gorski J. 2. Kukulowicz B. 9. Lacki D. 21. Mydlarz M. 18. Pchelka C. 33. Smylek M. (G) 8. Soszynski L. 23. Svec J.
Coaches
Skowronek A.	Pietrzykowski I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
14', Banach J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
47', Ertlthaler J. 🟨,
52', Dziuba M. 🟨,
55', Ruszel M. 🟨,
61', Ruszel M. ↓, Soszynski L. ↑,
67', Wojtkowski K. 🟨,
70', Kubik T. ↓, Blachewicz M. ↑,
70', Ertlthaler J. ↓, Szpakowski M. ↑,
70', Spiaczka B. ↓, Rumin D. ↑,
81', Dziuba M. ↓, Niewiarowski W. ↑,
83', Zaucha P. ↓, Kukulowicz B. ↑,
87', Kowalski J. ↓, Gorski J. ↑,
88', Wojtkowski K. ↓, Mydlarz M. ↑,
90', Furtak L. 🟨,

Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 12 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 2).

Recent matches GKS Tychy is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Stal Stalowa Wola has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

GKS Tychy could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match GKS Tychy is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches GKS Tychy won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.

Including matches at home between the teams GKS Tychy won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- GKS Tychy
Polish Division 1
16.09.24	GKS Tychy - Ruch Chorzów	0:1 ✺
Club Friendly
07.09.24	Śląsk Wrocław - GKS Tychy	2:2 ✺
Polish Division 1
31.08.24	Wisła Płock - GKS Tychy	0:0 ✺
24.08.24	GKS Tychy - Termalica Nieciecza	0:2 ✺
21.08.24	Pogoń Siedlce - GKS Tychy	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 LTTLW
- FC Stal Stalowa Wola
Polish Division 1
14.09.24	Stal Stalowa Wola - Wisła Płock	1:3 ✺
01.09.24	Termalica Nieciecza - Stal Stalowa Wola	3:0 ✺
24.08.24	Stal Stalowa Wola - Pogoń Siedlce	1:3 ✺
21.08.24	Odra Opole - Stal Stalowa Wola	2:1 ✺
16.08.24	Stal Stalowa Wola - Chrobry Głogów	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 2
02.04.16	GKS Tychy - Stal Stalowa Wola	2:0
05.09.15	Stal Stalowa Wola - GKS Tychy	1:1

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