Match Info

Division 1 - Round 28

Date: 12 April 2026, Sunday

Location: Stadion ROSRRiT (Siedlce)

Referee: Ostrowski L. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	sport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app


	Pogoń Siedlce		GKS Tychy

	1	X	2
	2.3	3.2	2.7
	2.32	3.35	2.82	Watch
	2.34	3.67	2.86
	2.29	3.75	2.78	Watch
	2.25	3.3	2.75
	2.27	3.35	2.77
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.3 ↓ (2.48)	3.44 ↓ (3.45)	2.78 ↑ (2.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pogoń Siedlce
40.1%

Draw
26.8%

GKS Tychy
33.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.1%

26.7%

36.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.5%

26.3%

36.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pogoń Siedlce has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

GKS Tychy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pogoń Siedlce than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for GKS Tychy than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

Pogoń Siedlce - GKS Tychy Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
57. Lemanowicz J. (G) 4. Misiak P. 6. Flis M. 3. Dembek B. 2. Mis K. 11. Famulak M. 10. Drag M. 31. Dzieciol E. 27. Zbrog J. 7. Szuprytowski D. 13. Podlinski K.	39. Madrzyk J. (G) 26. Lasicki I. 4. Lipkowski K. 2. Silva L. 21. Machowski K. 8. Szpakowski M. 37. Keiblinger J. 11. Blachewicz M. 92. Kadzior D. 24. Baranski B. 99. Rygula T.
Substitutes
56. Demianiuk C. 22. Klimek P. 19. Kozlowski O. 41. Pakulski D. 16. Poczobut B. 39. Rosolek M. 72. Szczytniewski S. 1. Tomkiel J. (G) 95. Zielonka N.	47. Jankowski B. 20. Krawczyk P. 22. Kubik T. 10. Listkowski M. 29. Lysiak P. 13. Proczek T. (G) 9. Rumin D. 90. Welniak K. 30. Wuwer J.
Coaches
Nocon A.	Poms R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
7', Drag M. 🟨,
33', Famulak M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
60', Blachewicz M. ↓, Kubik T. ↑,
60', Szuprytowski D. ↓, Rosolek M. ↑,
67', Lipkowski K. 🟨,
76', 0 - 1, Rygula T. ⚽,
77', Drag M. ↓, Poczobut B. ↑,
77', Zbrog J. ↓, Zielonka N. ↑,
77', Mis K. ↓, Szczytniewski S. ↑,
79', Rygula T. ↓, Jankowski B. ↑,
79', Kadzior D. ↓, Listkowski M. ↑,
79', Baranski B. ↓, Welniak K. ↑,
82', Famulak M. ↓, Demianiuk C. ↑,
85', Szpakowski M. ↓, Wuwer J. ↑,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 14 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 2).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pogoń Siedlce won 2.

Pogoń Siedlce has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

GKS Tychy is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Pogoń Siedlce won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 10:12. (average 1.1:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Pogoń Siedlce won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:3. (average 0.5:0.8).

Outrights of Polish Division 1 for now

Tychy: 16.22% Pogon Siedlce: 0.41%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Pogon Siedlce	8	3	3	2	9:7	2	12

Last Results with these Odds

Pogoń Siedlce - the odds 2.48 are the expected chance of winning is 37.13%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pogoń Siedlce
Polish Division 1
04.04.26	Śląsk Wrocław - Pogoń Siedlce	1:0 ✺
22.03.26	Pogoń Siedlce - Chrobry Głogów	1:2 ✺
15.03.26	Pogoń Siedlce - Znicz Pruszków	1:0 ✺
06.03.26	Puszcza Niepołomice - Pogoń Siedlce	3:0 ✺
27.02.26	Pogoń Siedlce - Górnik Łęczna	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LLWLT
- GKS Tychy
Polish Division 1
04.04.26	GKS Tychy - Znicz Pruszków	0:1 ✺
21.03.26	Polonia Bytom - GKS Tychy	1:1 ✺
15.03.26	GKS Tychy - Śląsk Wrocław	2:4 ✺
06.03.26	Stal Mielec - GKS Tychy	4:0 ✺
01.03.26	GKS Tychy - Puszcza Niepołomice	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 1
27.09.25	GKS Tychy - Pogoń Siedlce	1:3
07.03.25	GKS Tychy - Pogoń Siedlce	2:0
21.08.24	Pogoń Siedlce - GKS Tychy	0:1
28.04.18	Pogoń Siedlce - GKS Tychy	0:1
30.09.17	GKS Tychy - Pogoń Siedlce	2:3
19.11.16	Pogoń Siedlce - GKS Tychy	1:0
31.07.16	GKS Tychy - Pogoń Siedlce	0:1

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