Match Info

POLAND: Division 1 - Round 6

Date: 21 August 2024, Wednesday

Location: Stadion Miejski Odra (Opole)

Referee: Wajda T. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	sport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app, TVP Sport


	Odra Opole		Stal Stalowa Wola

	1	X	2
	1.9	3.25	3.75	Watch
	1.95	3.25	3.6
	1.9	3.4	4
	2.02	3.44	4.04
	1.94	3.34	3.98	Watch
	1.91	3.2	3.6
	1.92	3.35	3.86	Watch
	1.9	3.4	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.93 ↑ (1.81)	3.33 ↓ (3.55)	3.85 ↓ (4.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Odra Opole
48.1%

Draw
27.9%

Stal Stalowa Wola
24.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.9%

26.5%

21.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.5%

25.7%

21%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Odra Opole has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

Stal Stalowa Wola has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Odra Opole than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Odra Opole, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stal Stalowa Wola than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	8.3%	25%

Odra Opole - Stal Stalowa Wola Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Odra Opole will win (votes: 8 - 66.7%). Stal Stalowa Wola will win (votes: 3 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 8.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Odra Opole: 40% – 93.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Haluch A. (G) 24. Szrek J. 2. Zemlo P. (C) 3. Piroch J. 28. Pikk A. 13. Purzycki A. 7. Lyszczarz A. 17. Bartosz J. 33. Osipiak M. 10. Banaszewski M. 16. Wolny D.	1. Wilk A. (G) 22. Banach J. 27. Jonczy D. 4. Furtak L. 26. Zaucha P. 30. Wojtkowski K. 8. Soszynski L. 87. Kowalski J. (C) 7. Gorski J. 77. Chelmecki K. 11. Strozik S.
Substitutes
47. Blyszko W. 1. Burta J. (G) 11. Czaplinski D. 8. Dominiguez J. 35. Mroz P. 5. Niziolek R. 94. Nowak K. 14. Sikorski S. 20. Zawada O.	28. Bystrek O. 19. Fedejko I. 13. Freilich B. 2. Kukulowicz B. 16. Lelek K. 21. Mydlarz M. 18. Pchelka C. 33. Smylek M. (G) 70. Tomaszewski B.
Coaches
Sobolewski R.	Pietrzykowski I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
5', Soszynski L. 🟨,
23', Furtak L. 🟨,
31', Purzycki A. 🟨,
35', 0 - 1, Jonczy D. ⚽, Kowalski J. (A),
44', Szrek J. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Purzycki A. ↓, Niziolek R. ↑,
55', 1 - 1, Piroch J. ⚽, Szrek J. (A),
60', Banaszewski M. ↓, Zawada O. ↑,
60', Bartosz J. ↓, Nowak K. ↑,
67', 2 - 1, Lyszczarz A. ⚽, Nowak K. (A),
71', Chelmecki K. ↓, Pchelka C. ↑,
71', Soszynski L. 🟨,
76', Strozik S. ↓, Lelek K. ↑,
76', Gorski J. ↓, Mydlarz M. ↑,
77', Osipiak M. ↓, Dominiguez J. ↑,
80', Kowalski J. ↓, Tomaszewski B. ↑,
87', Lyszczarz A. ↓, Blyszko W. ↑,

Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 14 and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 2).

One and the other team are in an unacceptable form.

Odra Opole could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Odra Opole is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Odra Opole won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Odra Opole won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Odra Opole
Polish Division 1
17.08.24	GKS Tychy - Odra Opole	0:0 ✺
11.08.24	Odra Opole - Wisła Płock	1:2 ✺
04.08.24	Termalica Nieciecza - Odra Opole	3:0 ✺
28.07.24	Odra Opole - Pogoń Siedlce	4:1 ✺
19.07.24	Odra Opole - Ruch Chorzów	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 TLLWL
- FC Stal Stalowa Wola
Polish Division 1
16.08.24	Stal Stalowa Wola - Chrobry Głogów	1:1 ✺
10.08.24	Warta Poznań - Stal Stalowa Wola	1:0 ✺
Polish Cup
07.08.24	Stal Stalowa Wola - Olimpia Elbląg	4:2 ✺
Polish Division 1
03.08.24	Stal Stalowa Wola - Kotwica Kołobrzeg	0:2 ✺
26.07.24	Miedź Legnica - Stal Stalowa Wola	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 TLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 2
20.11.16	Stal Stalowa Wola - Odra Opole	2:1
30.07.16	Odra Opole - Stal Stalowa Wola	3:0

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