Match Info

POLAND: Division 1 - Round 9

Date: 14 September 2024, Saturday

Location: Stadion Stali Stalowa Wola (Stalowa Wola)

Referee: Rzucidlo P. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	sport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app


	Stal Stalowa Wola		Wisła Płock

	1	X	2
	4.5	3.75	1.62	Watch
	4.4	3.8	1.65
	4.75	4	1.66	Watch
	4.68	4.3	1.64
	4.81	4.19	1.62	Watch
	4.6	3.8	1.6
	4.97	3.98	1.6	Watch
	4.75	4	1.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.68 ↑ (4.2)	3.98 ↑ (3.6)	1.63 ↓ (1.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stal Stalowa Wola
19.8%

Draw
23.3%

Wisła Płock
56.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.2%

25.9%

52%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22%

25.7%

52.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stal Stalowa Wola has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Wisła Płock has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stal Stalowa Wola than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wisła Płock than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	0%	80%

Stal Stalowa Wola - Wisła Płock Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Stal Stalowa Wola will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Wisła Płock will win (votes: 4 - 80%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Smylek M. (G) 27. Jonczy D. 24. Urban D. 4. Furtak L. 87. Kowalski J. (C) 29. Ruszel M. 21. Mydlarz M. 8. Soszynski L. 26. Zaucha P. 77. Chelmecki K. 97. Joao Tavares	33. Gostomski M. (G) 44. Haglind-Sangre M. 19. Edmundsson A. 17. Misiak P. 16. Hiszpanski F. 18. Jimenez J. 8. Pacheco D. 14. Kun D. 37. Tomczyk O. 66. Salvador I. 20. Sekulski L. (C)
Substitutes
22. Banach J. 7. Gorski J. 2. Kukulowicz B. 16. Lelek K. 18. Pchelka C. 20. Pioterczak B. 11. Strozik S. 23. Svec J. 1. Wilk A. (G)	27. Borowski B. 21. Brzozowski M. 11. Famulak M. 99. Gradecki B. (G) 9. Kocyla D. 22. Krawczyk P. 24. Niepsuj D. 6. Pomorski K. 77. Szymanski J.
Coaches
Pietrzykowski I.	Misiura M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
1', Haglind-Sangre M. 🟨,
17', 0 - 1, Misiak P. ⚽, Jimenez J. (A),
45+2', 0 - 2, Salvador I. ⚽, Sekulski L. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Mydlarz M. ↓, Gorski J. ↑,
46', Chelmecki K. ↓, Pioterczak B. ↑,
59', Sekulski L. ↓, Kocyla D. ↑,
59', Salvador I. ↓, Krawczyk P. ↑,
61', Pacheco D. 🟨,
63', Urban D. ↓, Kukulowicz B. ↑,
65', Jonczy D. ↓, Banach J. ↑,
75', Edmundsson A. 🟥,
75', Hiszpanski F. ↓, Szymanski J. ↑,
81', Ruszel M. ↓, Strozik S. ↑,
82', Jimenez J. ↓, Pomorski K. ↑,
88', 1 - 2, Joao Tavares ⚽, Kowalski J. (A),
90', 1 - 3, Pomorski K. ⚽, Kun D. (A),

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 2 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

Stal Stalowa Wola has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Wisła Płock is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Wisła Płock could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Wisła Płock is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Stal Stalowa Wola
Polish Division 1
01.09.24	Termalica Nieciecza - Stal Stalowa Wola	3:0 ✺
24.08.24	Stal Stalowa Wola - Pogoń Siedlce	1:3 ✺
21.08.24	Odra Opole - Stal Stalowa Wola	2:1 ✺
16.08.24	Stal Stalowa Wola - Chrobry Głogów	1:1 ✺
10.08.24	Warta Poznań - Stal Stalowa Wola	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LLLTL
- Wisła Płock
Club Friendly
05.09.24	Widzew Łódź - Wisła Płock	3:0 ✺
Polish Division 1
31.08.24	Wisła Płock - GKS Tychy	0:0 ✺
26.08.24	Wisła Płock - Ruch Chorzów	3:2 ✺
21.08.24	Termalica Nieciecza - Wisła Płock	4:2 ✺
18.08.24	Wisła Płock - Pogoń Siedlce	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LTWLW

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