Match Info

FRANCE: NATIONAL - ROUND 7

Date: 22 September 2023, Friday


	GOAL FC		Le Mans

	1	X	2
	3.5	3.1	2.1	Watch
	3.88	3.06	2.17
	3.3	2.9	2.15
	3.6	3.18	2.07	Watch
	3.2	3.05	2.17
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.5 ↑ (2.45)	3.06 ↑ (2.88)	2.13 ↓ (2.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

GOAL FC
26.4%

Draw
30.2%

Le Mans
43.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.7%

31.2%

32.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36%

31.8%

32.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

GOAL FC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that GOAL FC's form might have worsened.

Le Mans has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Le Mans's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for GOAL FC than the current prediction. (+9.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for GOAL FC, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Le Mans than the current prediction. (-10.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Le Mans, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
18.2%	63.6%	18.2%

GOAL FC - Le Mans Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. GOAL FC will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). Le Mans will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 63.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 35.2% – 92%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Philippon A. (G) 17. Camelo L. 6. Dufau L. (C) 14. Goncalves A. 3. Julloux A. 10. Lemaitre T. 11. Mambu J. 5. M'Dahoma K. 9. Rambaud T. 26. Socka Bongue L. 23. Tanard N.	16. Kocik N. (G) 18. Boussaid M. 26. Colas E. 6. Coutadeur M. (C) 10. Le Mehaute Y. 29. Quarshie E. 9. Rabillard A. 12. Ribelin A. 20. Vargas-Rios H. 5. Voyer H. 17. Yohou S.
Substitutes
20. Abbas C. 8. Caumet R. 21. Fromager C. 29. Raspentino F. 27. Suljic C.	21. Eyoum T. 25. Gueye D. 1. Hatfout E. (G) 13. Raghouber U. 19. Vincent A.

Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 9 and 5).

Two teams are playing changeable.

Le Mans will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- GOAL FC
French Ligue 3
15.09.23	Rouen FC - GOAL FC	2:1 ✺
08.09.23	GOAL FC - Martigues	0:0 ✺
01.09.23	Sochaux - GOAL FC	0:3 ✺
25.08.23	Épinal - GOAL FC	0:0 ✺
18.08.23	GOAL FC - Red Star	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.5 LTWTW
- Le Mans FC
French Ligue 3
15.09.23	Le Mans - Red Star	1:2 ✺
11.09.23	Orleans - Le Mans	1:3 ✺
01.09.23	Le Mans - Versailles	0:0 ✺
25.08.23	Nîmes - Le Mans	1:1 ✺
21.08.23	Le Mans - Dijon	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 LWTTT

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