Match Info

Ligue 2 - Round 14

Date: 8 November 2025, Saturday

Location: Stade Marie-Marvingt (Le Mans)

Referee: Taleb A. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	SportyNet
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Free


	Le Mans		Red Star

	1	X	2
	2.45	3	3.2	Watch
	2.4	2.98	3.05
	2.48	3.08	3.22
	2.25	3.09	3.17	Watch
	2.42	2.96	3.15	Watch
	2.25	3.15	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.38 ↑ (2.25)	3.04 ↓ (3.09)	3.17 (3.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Le Mans
39.5%

Draw
30.8%

Red Star
29.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41%

29.9%

29.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.1%

28.4%

27.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Le Mans has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Red Star has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Le Mans than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Red Star than the current prediction. (-2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
70%	20%	10%

Le Mans - Red Star Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Le Mans will win (votes: 7 - 70%). Red Star will win (votes: 1 - 10%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Le Mans: 41.6% – 98.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
98. Kocik N. (G) 12. Ribelin A. 21. Eyoum T. 17. Yohou S. 5. Voyer H. 18. Buades L. 24. Robin M. 6. Quarshie E. (C) 27. Rossignol M. 20. Harhouz W. 9. Rabillard A.	16. Poussin G. (G) 20. Durivaux D. 24. Lemonnier P. 27. Danger B. 22. Sylla D. 81. Haag G. 98. Hachem R. (C) 11. Cisse K. 10. Khaoui S. E. 23. Ikanga J. 7. Durand D.
Substitutes
22. Calodat L. 28. Colas E. 3. Cossier I. 25. Gueye D. 31. Hammoudi I. 1. Hatfout E. (G) 8. Lauray A.	1. Beunardeau Q. (G) 91. Cabral K. 8. Eickmayer J. 21. Hachem A. 3. Huard M. 4. Kayi Sanda J. 25. Trani G.
Coaches
Videira P.	Poirier G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
60', Ikanga J. ↓, Cabral K. ↑,
64', Harhouz W. ↓, Colas E. ↑,
64', Rabillard A. ↓, Gueye D. ↑,
65', Ribelin A. ↓, Calodat L. ↑,
65', Robin M. ↓, Hammoudi I. ↑,
74', Khaoui S. E. ↓, Eickmayer J. ↑,
74', Lemonnier P. ↓, Huard M. ↑,
75', Quarshie E. ↓, Lauray A. ↑,
86', Hachem R. ↓, Trani G. ↑,
86', Durand D. ↓, Hachem A. ↑,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 8 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Le Mans won 0.

Now, both teams are in good form.

Le Mans may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Le Mans might have a minor edge in this game.

There will not play in Le Mans: Abanda L. (Inactive) Cisse A. (Injury) Delbecque A. (Inactive) Guillaume B. (Inactive) Luvambo T. (Inactive) Vercruysse J. (Injury)

There will not play in Red Star: Doucoure R. (Knee Injury) Guindo S. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Le Mans: Voyer H. (Injury)

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Le Mans won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:10. (average 0.9:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Le Mans won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:5. (average 1:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Le Mans FC
French Ligue 2
31.10.25	Le Mans - Nancy	1:0 ✺
28.10.25	Laval - Le Mans	1:1 ✺
24.10.25	Le Mans - Boulogne	1:0 ✺
18.10.25	Saint-Étienne - Le Mans	2:3 ✺
03.10.25	Le Mans - Troyes	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.6 WTWWT
- Red Star FC 93
French Ligue 2
01.11.25	Red Star - Saint-Étienne	2:1 ✺
28.10.25	Dunkerque - Red Star	3:0 ✺
24.10.25	Red Star - Grenoble	1:0 ✺
18.10.25	Laval - Red Star	0:1 ✺
04.10.25	Red Star - Rodez	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 WLWWT

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 3
23.02.24	Red Star - Le Mans	4:1
15.09.23	Le Mans - Red Star	1:2
Club Friendly
04.08.23	Le Mans - Red Star	1:1
French Ligue 3
10.02.23	Red Star - Le Mans	0:0
05.09.22	Le Mans - Red Star	0:0
25.03.22	Le Mans - Red Star	1:1
25.10.21	Red Star - Le Mans	1:2

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