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Current Win Probability
GVCD San José 53.6%
Draw 25.8%
Jorge Wilstermann 20.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
60.1%
22.8%
17.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
61.5%
22.3%
16.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
GVCD San José has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that GVCD San José's form might have worsened.
Jorge Wilstermann has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for GVCD San José than the current prediction. (+7.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for GVCD San José, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jorge Wilstermann than the current prediction. (-3.9%)
GVCD San José - Jorge Wilstermann Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
25. Rivas R. (G) 2. Ramallo J. 27. Ceceri K. 5. Seimandi A. (C) 30. Vasquez F. 15. Villamil S. 8. Escobar M. 55. Vargas D. 11. Monterubianessi T. 28. Pena S. 23. Aponte D.
1. Salinas L. (G) 3. Chumacero A. 18. Barron A. 5. Castillo G. 27. Corrales R. 4. Rodriguez F. 10. Chavez C. 15. Machado C. (C) 6. Villarroel N. 17. Rodriguez L. 7. Caceres A.
Substitutes
4. Alarcon F. 7. Andrada F. 16. Arismendi F. 14. Calero D. 33. Landa A. 1. Poveda B. (G) 12. Ribera J. 22. Roca D. 26. Saavedra D. 6. Serrano L. 40. Vargas J. 3. Villamil J.
29. Adrian J. 34. Ancieta C. 24. Montano J. 38. Rocabado I. 16. Rodriguez I. 28. Soto R. 23. Velasco A. 22. Zenteno J. 33. Zotes S. (G)
Coaches
Flores W.
Viviani Ribera H.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
19', Villarroel N. ↓, Rodriguez I. ↑,
40', 1 - 0, Monterubianessi T. ⚽, Pena S. (A),
45+1', Monterubianessi T. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Rodriguez L. ↓, Montano J. ↑,
52', Rodriguez I. 🟨,
56', 2 - 0, Monterubianessi T. ⚽,
59', Barron A. ↓, Velasco A. ↑,
59', Chavez C. ↓, Rocabado I. ↑,
62', Pena S. ↓, Roca D. ↑,
62', Aponte D. ↓, Saavedra D. ↑,
63', Monterubianessi T. ↓, Andrada F. ↑,
63', Vasquez F. ↓, Calero D. ↑,
75', Rodriguez I. ↓, Adrian J. ↑,
76', Seimandi A. 🟨,
81', Villamil S. ↓, Serrano L. ↑,
87', Caceres A. 🟥,
90+2', Serrano L. 🟨,
Preview
GVCD San José is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Wilstermann has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
In this match, GVCD San José is the team to beat.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, GVCD San José won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:6. (average 1.6:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, GVCD San José won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:3. (average 1.3:1).