The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Universitario de Vinto 43.3%
Draw 28.6%
Jorge Wilstermann 28.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
50.6%
25.7%
23.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
52.8%
24.6%
22.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Universitario de Vinto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Universitario de Vinto's form might have worsened.
Jorge Wilstermann has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Universitario de Vinto than the current prediction. (+9.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Universitario de Vinto, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jorge Wilstermann than the current prediction. (-5.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Jorge Wilstermann, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Universitario de Vinto - Jorge Wilstermann Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH +0.5 - Wilstermann (1.64) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
DC - Wilstermann (1.69) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Wilstermann (votes: 3 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Gutierrez J. (G) 2. Valda D. 26. Lencinas J. 34. Jara A. 28. Jose Pinto 19. Alipaz J. 38. Magallanes J. 10. Castro R. (C) 11. Cuellar J. 45. Luciano 21. Cuellar G.
1. Salinas L. (G) 4. Rodriguez F. 25. Robson (C) 5. Castillo G. 27. Corrales R. 24. Montano J. 29. Adrian J. 26. Aliaga A. 14. Pardo E. 7. Caceres A. 17. Rodriguez L.
Substitutes
33. Abrego J. 7. Cabezas B. 27. Calderon B. 47. Callau D. 77. Cano E. 66. Cuestas A. 17. Lazarte J. 20. Lujan P. 9. Mejia F. 16. Morales M. 12. Vera J. (G) 32. Vera J.
34. Ancieta C. 40. Camacho K. 10. Chavez C. 38. Rocabado I. 16. Rodriguez I. 28. Soto R. 36. Veizaga E. 23. Velasco A. 22. Zenteno J. 33. Zotes S. (G)
Coaches
Thiago Leitao
Viviani Ribera H.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
10', Magallanes J. 🟨,
36', Valda D. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Alipaz J. ↓, Lujan P. ↑,
47', 0 - 1, Caceres A. ⚽, Montano J. (A),
55', Corrales R. 🟥,
64', Jara A. ↓, Mejia F. ↑,
64', Magallanes J. ↓, Cabezas B. ↑,
68', Montano J. ↓, Rodriguez I. ↑,
75', Valda D. ↓, Abrego J. ↑,
81', Jose Pinto 🟥,
81', Castro R. 🟨,
90+4', Robson 🟨,
90+6', Caceres A. ↓, Zenteno J. ↑,
90+8', 1 - 1, Luciano ⚽, Cabezas B. (A),
Preview
A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 12 and 15 in the zone Division Profesional (Relegation)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Uni de Vinto won 1.
Both teams are currently in poor form.
Wilstermann may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Uni de Vinto is a strong favorite.
In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Uni de Vinto won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:6. (average 0.8:0.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Uni de Vinto won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 0.8:0.5).
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Gutierrez J. (G) 
Lencinas J. 
Robson (C) 
Castillo G. 
Caceres A. 
Cabezas B. 
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