The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Jorge Wilstermann 18.1%
Draw 24.9%
Nacional Potosí 57.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
38.2%
25.9%
35.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
39.5%
25%
34.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Jorge Wilstermann has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-20.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Jorge Wilstermann's form might have worsened.
Nacional Potosí has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+21.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Nacional Potosí's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jorge Wilstermann than the current prediction. (+21.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Jorge Wilstermann, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nacional Potosí than the current prediction. (-22.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Nacional Potosí, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
25%
50%
25%
Jorge Wilstermann - Nacional Potosí Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Wilstermann will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Nacional Potosí will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Wilstermann (votes: 1 - 25%). Nacional Potosí (votes: 1 - 25%). Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Salinas L. (G) 6. Villarroel N. 10. Chavez C. 25. Robson (C) 17. Rodriguez L. 3. Chumacero A. 27. Corrales R. 26. Aliaga A. 38. Rocabado I. 29. Adrian J. 7. Caceres A.
1. Mustafa S. (C) 7. Torres S. 6. Restrepo E. 33. Demiquel L. 16. Torrico A. 29. Alvarez W. 19. Nunez M. 17. Guerra S. 15. Arce Pari J. 22. Hoyos D. 11. Rojas J.
Substitutes
34. Ancieta C. 18. Barron A. 31. Delgadillo M. 24. Montano J. 14. Pardo E. 4. Rodriguez F. 16. Rodriguez I. 28. Soto R. 36. Veizaga E. 23. Velasco A. 22. Zenteno J. 33. Zotes S. (G)
3. Amarilla N. 18. Azogue P. 21. Baldomar O. 4. Daza Gutierrez A. 23. Galindo P. (G) 14. Guerra J. 5. Mancilla D. 28. Palacio D. 8. Pavia L. 25. Payares M. 9. Tobar T. 24. Zeballos L.
Coaches
Viviani Ribera H.
Eguez L.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 3)
11', 0 - 1, Alvarez W. ⚽, Torres S. (A),
13', 0 - 2, Salinas L. (Own goal),
20', Caceres A. 🟨,
38', 0 - 3, Alvarez W. ⚽, Guerra S. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 2)
46', Rocabado I. ↓, Barron A. ↑,
46', Adrian J. ↓, Rodriguez F. ↑,
53', 1 - 3, Caceres A. ⚽, Rodriguez L. (A),
55', Guerra S. ↓, Azogue P. ↑,
55', Rojas J. ↓, Palacio D. ↑,
62', Mustafa S. 🟨,
63', 2 - 3, Caceres A. (Pen),
64', Nunez M. 🟨,
64', Corrales R. 🟨,
66', Hoyos D. 🟨,
69', 2 - 4, Palacio D. ⚽, Alvarez W. (A),
74', 2 - 5, Palacio D. ⚽, Nunez M. (A),
75', Nunez M. ↓, Baldomar O. ↑,
75', Hoyos D. ↓, Pavia L. ↑,
80', Rodriguez F. 🟨,
81', Chavez C. ↓, Delgadillo M. ↑,
81', Aliaga A. ↓, Rodriguez I. ↑,
84', Rodriguez L. ↓, Veizaga E. ↑,
87', Alvarez W. ↓, Payares M. ↑,
89', Restrepo E. 🟨,
Preview
A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 15 in the zone Division Profesional (Relegation) and 12).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wilstermann won 2.
Both teams are struggling and far from their best.
Wilstermann may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Nacional Potosí has had a series of home games.
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Wilstermann won 6 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 23:25. (average 1.2:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Wilstermann won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:11. (average 1.2:1.2).
Bolivia
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Salinas L. (G) 
Chavez C. 
Robson (C) 
Caceres A. 
Restrepo E. 
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