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Current Win Probability
GVVV 57.4%
Draw 21.2%
Jong Sparta Rotterdam 21.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
50.3%
22.2%
27.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
49.4%
21.8%
28%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
GVVV has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in GVVV's performance.
Jong Sparta Rotterdam has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Jong Sparta Rotterdam might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for GVVV than the current prediction. (-8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with GVVV that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jong Sparta Rotterdam than the current prediction. (+6.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Jong Sparta Rotterdam could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
GVVV - Jong Sparta Rotterdam Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. van Kouwen R. (G) 2. Dilrosun T. 3. Willems M. (C) 4. Hillen K. 22. Dumay Q. 21. Spies J. 10. Veenhof Q. 43. Menelik A. 29. Slijkhuis G. 6. van Soest A. 7. Sint V.
1. Suur R. (G) 2. Esser J. 4. van Zijl O. 3. Borrie T. 5. Mulumba G. 10. Jaber el Maftahi Y. 6. Oetoehganal L. (C) 8. Guit V. 7. Arcos G. 9. Visser A. 11. Nieuwenhuijs L.
Substitutes
15. de Leeuw D. 31. Evora E. (G) 9. Latif I. 14. Meeuwsen K. 23. Ouamar A. 11. Sow S.
16. Bynoe J. 20. Geneugelijk I. (G) 12. Henry A. 19. Hoeve Q. 17. Sandvliet N. 15. Vianello G.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
23', 1 - 0, Slijkhuis G. ⚽, Menelik A. (A),
27', Menelik A. 🟨,
37', Arcos G. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
54', 2 - 0, Veenhof Q. ⚽,
67', van Zijl O. ↓, Hoeve Q. ↑,
67', Guit V. ↓, Bynoe J. ↑,
68', Arcos G. ↓, Henry A. ↑,
70', Menelik A. ↓, de Leeuw D. ↑,
80', Sint V. ↓, Meeuwsen K. ↑,
82', Oetoehganal L. ↓, Hanzen D. ↑,
89', Slijkhuis G. ↓, Latif I. ↑,
90+1', 3 - 0, Veenhof Q. ⚽,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, GVVV won 3.
Recent form of GVVV has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Jong Sparta's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins โ 2).
GVVV will hold a modest advantage in this match.
In the last 15 head-to-head matches, GVVV won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 27:35. (average 1.8:2.3).
Including home matches between the teams, GVVV won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:16. (average 2:2.7).