The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Jong Sparta Rotterdam 34.9%
Draw 22.7%
HSV Hoek 42.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
28.4%
24.5%
47.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
30.2%
23%
44.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Jong Sparta Rotterdam has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Jong Sparta Rotterdam's performance.
HSV Hoek has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jong Sparta Rotterdam than the current prediction. (-4.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for HSV Hoek than the current prediction. (+1.9%)
Jong Sparta Rotterdam - HSV Hoek Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Suur R. (G) 2. Esser J. 3. Giersthove D. 4. Borrie T. 5. Gompel M. 10. Oukhattou M. 6. Sandvliet N. 8. Guit V. 7. Silva Neves M. 9. Hanzen D. 11. Sallent K.
1. Standaert M. (G) 2. de Poorter R. 4. Ketels L. 21. Martens G. 5. de Nooijer Y. 18. Bouihrouchane H. 7. Hebbelinck K. 8. Brebels S. 14. Van Hauter R. 17. Avoki P. 10. Aelterman N.
Substitutes
14. Bogerd J. 19. Ebite S. 20. Hitipeuw T. (G) 15. Inocencio J. 13. Leerdam B. 12. Marfouk S. 16. Oetoehganal L.
22. Demuynck D. 19. Jalloh A. 24. Siereveld G. 16. Steenpoorte M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
13', 1 - 0, Gompel M. ⚽, Sallent K. (A),
29', de Nooijer Y. 🟨,
30', Ketels L. 🟨,
38', de Poorter R. 🟨,
45+1', Van Hauter R. 🟨,
45+1', Bouihrouchane H. 🟨,
45+2', de Nooijer G. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Silva Neves M. ↓, Inocencio J. ↑,
51', 2 - 0, Oukhattou M. ⚽, Sandvliet N. (A),
55', Bouihrouchane H. ↓, Jalloh A. ↑,
62', Martens G. ↓, Siereveld G. ↑,
62', Avoki P. ↓, Demuynck D. ↑,
65', Gompel M. ↓, Oetoehganal L. ↑,
71', Borrie T. 🟨,
72', Sallent K. ↓, Ebite S. ↑,
75', 3 - 0, Oukhattou M. ⚽, Giersthove D. (A),
77', Hebbelinck K. ↓, Steenpoorte M. ↑,
90+1', Sandvliet N. ↓, Marfouk S. ↑,
Preview
A tightly contested fixture between two evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 8th and 13th).
In recent outings, Jong Sparta has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Hoek is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Jong Sparta has recorded 0 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 1:4 (averaging 0.5:2 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Jong Sparta against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 1:4 goals.
Watch
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Suur R. (G) 
Oukhattou M. 
Standaert M. (G) 
de Poorter R. 
Demuynck D. 
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