Match Info

Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga - Round 29

Date: 17 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: David Petriashvili Stadium (Tbilisi) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Shengelia I. (Geo)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Belarus	18:00	Sport TV


	Gagra		Dinamo Batumi

	1	X	2
	5.50	4.20	1.46
	6.40	4.25	1.37	Watch
	6.84	4.40	1.45
	5.4	4.07	1.52	Watch
	6.75	4.00	1.44
	5.47	4.51	1.50	Watch
	6.20	4.30	1.43
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.08 ↑ (4.88)	4.25 ↑ (4.16)	1.45 ↓ (1.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gagra
15.1%

Draw
21.6%

Dinamo Batumi
63.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

18.9%

22.1%

59%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.1%

21.1%

60.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gagra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

Dinamo Batumi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gagra than the current prediction. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dinamo Batumi than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

Gagra - Dinamo Batumi Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Vorobey O. (G) 40. Claudinei 14. Tchavtchanidze Z. 2. Augusto 4. Arsic V. 6. Tsintsadze M. (C) 7. Borges P. 30. Goshteliani G. 25. Wanderson 18. Bliznichenko V. 23. Andreychuk A.	13. Kalichava N. (G) 29. Turitsov I. 23. Kobakhidze M. (C) 24. Carlson D. 12. Lakvekheliani L. 10. Mara U. 8. Altunashvili S. 27. Shengelia L. 18. Oulad Omar I. 11. Paulo V. 9. Maurides
Substitutes
35. Dmitrievich A. (G) 33. Gurchiani L. 19. Khachidze G. 9. Mujiri D. 5. Nazarov Y. 21. Peikrishvili A. 22. Sadghobelashvili G. 8. Skrypnyk I. 17. Vinicius Cesar	35. Chiteishvili R. 16. Eshetiye A. 19. Kalandarishvili N. 1. Kupatadze L. (G) 15. Mahmutovic E. 7. Mandricenco D. 6. Mylchenko A. 37. Putkaradze G.
Coaches
Ljubenovic Z.	Chiabrishvili G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
5', 0 - 1, Paulo V. ⚽,
42', Tchavtchanidze Z. 🟨,
44', 0 - 2, Maurides (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Andreychuk A. ↓, Mujiri D. ↑,
53', Borges P. 🟨,
59', Borges P. ↓, Gurchiani L. ↑,
60', Gurchiani L. 🟨,
60', Shengelia L. ↓, Eshetiye A. ↑,
67', 1 - 2, Mujiri D. (Penalty Awarded),
69', Goshteliani G. ↓, Peikrishvili A. ↑,
72', Maurides ↓, Mandricenco D. ↑,
72', Oulad Omar I. ↓, Kalandarishvili N. ↑,
75', Tsintsadze M. 🟨,
77', Bliznichenko V. ↓, Khachidze G. ↑,
77', Arsic V. ↓, Skrypnyk I. ↑,
79', Lakvekheliani L. ↓, Mylchenko A. ↑,
83', 1 - 3, Kalandarishvili N. ⚽, Mara U. (A),
90+6', Augusto 🟨,
90+6', Wanderson 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gagra won 2.

Recent results have been tough for Gagra (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

Dinamo Batumi is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Bookmakers give the edge to Dinamo Batumi for this game.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Gagra has recorded 4 wins, 4 draws, and 12 losses, with a goal aggregate of 23:43 (averaging 1.2:2.2 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Gagra against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 3 draws, and 6 losses, with 13:23 goals (averaging 1.2:2.1 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Dinamo Batumi	30	16	8	6	53:37	16	56
8	Gagra	30	6	12	12	26:43	-17	30

Last Results with these Odds

Gagra - the odds 4.88 are the expected chance of winning is 18.86%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gagra FC
Georgian Erovnuli Liga
11.10.26	Samgurali Tskhaltubo - Gagra	3:0 ✺
19.09.26	Gagra - Meshakhte Tkibuli	1:1 ✺
14.09.26	Dinamo Tbilisi - Gagra	4:0 ✺
10.09.26	Gagra - Torpedo Kutaisi	1:1 ✺
05.09.26	Dila Gori - Gagra	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LTLTL
- Dinamo Batumi
Georgian Erovnuli Liga
11.10.26	Dinamo Batumi - Dinamo Tbilisi	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
02.10.26	Noah Yerevan - Dinamo Batumi	2:2 ✺
Georgian Erovnuli Liga
20.09.26	Dinamo Batumi - Torpedo Kutaisi	3:2 ✺
13.09.26	Dila Gori - Dinamo Batumi	2:2 ✺
09.09.26	Dinamo Batumi - Iberia 1999	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.8 WTWTW

Latest Head to Head

Georgian Erovnuli Liga
06.05.26	Gagra - Dinamo Batumi	1:2
07.03.26	Dinamo Batumi - Gagra	1:1
26.10.25	Gagra - Dinamo Batumi	4:1
17.08.25	Dinamo Batumi - Gagra	1:2
03.05.25	Gagra - Dinamo Batumi	1:1
10.03.25	Dinamo Batumi - Gagra	2:1
18.10.24	Dinamo Batumi - Gagra	3:2

Gagra - Dinamo Batumi