Match Info

Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga - Round 10

Date: 2 May 2026, Saturday

Location: 26 May Stadium (Tsqaltubo)

Referee: Aptsiauri A. (Geo)


	Samgurali Tskhaltubo		Gagra

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.3	2.88
	2.22	3.4	3.07
	2.21	3.34	2.99	Watch
	2.15	3	2.9
	2.17	3.22	3.03
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.18 ↓ (2.32)	3.25 ↓ (3.26)	2.97 ↑ (2.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Samgurali Tskhaltubo
41.6%

Draw
27.9%

Gagra
30.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.7%

28.2%

32.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.5%

28%

32.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Samgurali Tskhaltubo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Gagra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Samgurali Tskhaltubo than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gagra than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

Samgurali Tskhaltubo - Gagra Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Kutaladze L. (G) 13. Gegetchkori L. 25. Shatirishvili M. 39. Ryan 15. Carlos J. 5. Janjgava I. 20. Vinicius Vianna 2. Kvaratskhelia L. 33. Jefinho (C) 11. Wellissol 28. Claudio Cebolinha	1. Vorobey O. (G) 40. Claudinei 3. Chochia O. 2. Augusto 4. Arsic V. 22. Sadghobelashvili G. 6. Tsintsadze M. (C) 8. Skrypnyk I. 25. Wanderson 9. Mujiri D. 23. Andreychuk A.
Substitutes
6. Aptsiauri O. 8. Berelidze T. 18. Chkhetiani S. 22. Gogia G. 10. Gogolashvili G. 3. Jarjue Kabia A. 9. Papava L. 21. Siukaev A. (G) 17. Tsetskhladze N.	29. Adeyeye R. 20. Darsania G. 35. Dmitrievich A. (G) 19. Katsiashvili I. 10. Kekelidze L. 21. Peikrishvili A. 17. Pipia G. 14. Tchavtchanidze Z. 11. Zoidze S.
Coaches
Oniani G.	Ljubenovic Z.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
11', Skrypnyk I. 🟨,
23', 1 - 0, Janjgava I. ⚽,
31', 2 - 0, Claudio Cebolinha ⚽, Gegetchkori L. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Sadghobelashvili G. ↓, Kekelidze L. ↑,
46', Chochia O. ↓, Zoidze S. ↑,
51', Mujiri D. 🟨,
58', Zoidze S. 🟨,
65', Kvaratskhelia L. ↓, Tsetskhladze N. ↑,
70', Tsintsadze M. ↓, Tchavtchanidze Z. ↑,
70', Mujiri D. ↓, Pipia G. ↑,
70', Claudio Cebolinha ↓, Papava L. ↑,
70', Jefinho ↓, Aptsiauri O. ↑,
85', Wellissol ↓, Gogia G. ↑,
88', Skrypnyk I. ↓, Peikrishvili A. ↑,

Preview

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 9 in the zone Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga (Relegation) and 8 in the zone Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga (Relegation)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Samgurali won 2.

Samgurali is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Gagra has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Samgurali won 9 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 29:19. (average 1.5:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Samgurali won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 16:12. (average 1.5:1.1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Samgurali	27	9	5	13	38:52	-14	32
8	Gagra	27	6	11	10	25:37	-12	29

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Samgurali Tskhaltubo
Georgian Erovnuli Liga
25.04.26	Samgurali Tskhaltubo - Dinamo Tbilisi	1:2 ✺
21.04.26	Torpedo Kutaisi - Samgurali Tskhaltubo	6:1 ✺
17.04.26	Samgurali Tskhaltubo - Dila Gori	0:1 ✺
07.04.26	Iberia 1999 - Samgurali Tskhaltubo	2:1 ✺
03.04.26	Samgurali Tskhaltubo - Rustavi	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.9 LLLLW
- Gagra FC
Georgian Erovnuli Liga
27.04.26	Gagra - Meshakhte Tkibuli	1:1 ✺
21.04.26	Dinamo Tbilisi - Gagra	0:1 ✺
17.04.26	Gagra - Torpedo Kutaisi	2:2 ✺
07.04.26	Dila Gori - Gagra	1:1 ✺
03.04.26	Gagra - Iberia 1999	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.9 TWTTL

Latest Head to Head

Georgian Erovnuli Liga
02.03.26	Gagra - Samgurali Tskhaltubo	0:1
02.11.25	Samgurali Tskhaltubo - Gagra	1:1
24.08.25	Gagra - Samgurali Tskhaltubo	2:0
07.05.25	Samgurali Tskhaltubo - Gagra	0:2
16.03.25	Gagra - Samgurali Tskhaltubo	0:2
10.11.24	Samgurali Tskhaltubo - Gagra	4:2
01.09.24	Gagra - Samgurali Tskhaltubo	1:3

Samgurali Tskhaltubo - Gagra: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide