The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Gagra 55.7%
Draw 24.2%
Kolkheti Poti 20.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
57.1%
22.2%
20.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
49%
19.1%
24%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Gagra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)
Kolkheti Poti has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gagra than the current prediction. (-6.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Gagra that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kolkheti Poti than the current prediction. (+3.9%)
Gagra - Kolkheti Poti Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
21. Siukaev A. (G) 40. Claudinei 14. Tchavtchanidze Z. 2. Augusto 25. Wanderson 27. Skrypnyk I. 6. Tsintsadze M. (C) 29. Adeyeye R. 26. Ardazishvili R. 33. Kharebashvili G. 11. Gotsiridze D.
1. Dadeshkeliani A. (G) 23. Grigalava R. 12. Kvirkvelia G. 4. Giunashvili A. 21. Paghava D. 38. Meite S. 5. Tskhovrebashvili N. 7. Kharebava G. (C) 20. Bartishvili A. 13. Kapanadze N. 19. Avaliani S.
Substitutes
3. Chochia O. 30. Nadareishvili G. 16. Osikmashvili L. 8. Papuashvili G. 5. Salukvadze L. 1. Sciapanau R. (G) 28. Shainidze G. 18. Zoidze S.
16. Akhaladze G. 28. Andghuladze D. 9. Chikhradze L. 10. Kutateladze N. 11. Leshchynskyi Y. 34. Oloko-Obi T. 40. Pachulia D. 8. Plyushch R.
Coaches
Ljubenovic Z.
Kvirkvelia D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
7', 0 - 1, Avaliani S. ⚽, Bartishvili A. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 2)
58', Kvirkvelia G. 🟨,
61', 0 - 2, Kapanadze N. ⚽, Kharebava G. (A),
62', Kharebashvili G. ↓, Zoidze S. ↑,
74', Tskhovrebashvili N. ↓, Oloko-Obi T. ↑,
77', Adeyeye R. ↓, Papuashvili G. ↑,
83', Bartishvili A. ↓, Akhaladze G. ↑,
85', 0 - 3, Avaliani S. ⚽, Paghava D. (A),
88', Skrypnyk I. ↓, Nadareishvili G. ↑,
88', Tsintsadze M. ↓, Osikmashvili L. ↑,
89', 1 - 3, Wanderson ⚽, Gotsiridze D. (A),
90+2', Avaliani S. ↓, Plyushch R. ↑,
90+2', Kapanadze N. ↓, Chikhradze L. ↑,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gagra won 3.
Gagra is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Kolkheti has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
Recently, Kolkheti has had a series of home games.
In this match, Gagra is considered a favorite.
In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Gagra won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:7. (average 1.7:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Gagra won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:2. (average 2:0.7).