Match Info

NPL Premier Division - Round 37

Date: 28 March 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Gainsborough Trinity		Warrington Rylands

	1	X	2
	2.12	3.3	2.98
	2.17	3.42	3.01
	2.18	3.56	3.02	Watch
	2.15	3.1	2.9
	2.21	3.47	3.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.17 (2.17)	3.37 ↓ (3.52)	2.99 ↓ (3.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gainsborough Trinity
42.3%

Draw
27.2%

Warrington Rylands
30.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

43%

26.5%

30.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.1%

25.8%

29.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gainsborough Trinity has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

The chances for Warrington Rylands have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gainsborough Trinity than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Warrington Rylands than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Gainsborough Trinity - Warrington Rylands Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
84', Burton J. 🟥,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 6 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ NPL Premier Division (Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gainsborough won 2.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Warrington Rylands may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Gainsborough is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Gainsborough won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 16:8. (average 2.3:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Gainsborough won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:2. (average 2:0.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Gainsborough	15	9	1	5	31:20	11	28
8	Warrington Rylands	14	7	2	5	25:21	4	23

Outrights of English NPL Premier Division for now

Gainsborough: 5.04% Warrington Rylands: 2.91%

Last Results with these Odds

Gainsborough Trinity - the odds 2.17 are the expected chance of winning is 42.96%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gainsborough Trinity
English NPL Premier Division
24.03.26	Gainsborough Trinity - Bamber Bridge	0:1 ✺
21.03.26	Rushall Olympic - Gainsborough Trinity	1:1 ✺
17.03.26	Gainsborough Trinity - Hyde United	2:0 ✺
07.03.26	Hebburn Town - Gainsborough Trinity	2:1 ✺
24.02.26	Gainsborough Trinity - Leek Town	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LTWLW
- Warrington Rylands
English NPL Premier Division
21.03.26	Warrington Rylands - United of Manchester	1:2 ✺
14.03.26	Leek Town - Warrington Rylands	0:2 ✺
07.03.26	Warrington Rylands - Cleethorpes Town	0:1 ✺
28.02.26	Whitby Town - Warrington Rylands	1:1 ✺
21.02.26	Warrington Rylands - Ilkeston	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 LWLTW

Latest Head to Head

English NPL Premier Division
16.08.25	Warrington Rylands - Gainsborough Trinity	4:2
01.03.25	Warrington Rylands - Gainsborough Trinity	1:1
11.02.25	Gainsborough Trinity - Warrington Rylands	3:1
24.02.24	Warrington Rylands - Gainsborough Trinity	1:4
14.10.23	Gainsborough Trinity - Warrington Rylands	1:1
11.03.23	Gainsborough Trinity - Warrington Rylands	2:0
13.08.22	Warrington Rylands - Gainsborough Trinity	0:3

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