The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Mickleover Sports 30%
Draw 24.9%
Ashton United 45%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
21.8%
22.7%
55.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
21%
21.9%
57.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mickleover Sports has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Mickleover Sports's performance.
Ashton United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ashton United might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mickleover Sports than the current prediction. (-9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mickleover Sports that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ashton United than the current prediction. (+12.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ashton United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
18.2%
81.8%
Mickleover Sports - Ashton United Predictions
Users Predictions:
Ashton United will win
(9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%). Confidence interval (95%): 59.03% โ 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 2)
7', 0 - 1, Osei D. ⚽,
10', 0 - 2, Gilchrist J. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
52', 1 - 2, O'Grady C. ⚽,
67', 1 - 3, Osei D. ⚽,
Preview
This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 21 in the zone Relegation and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ NPL Premier Division (Play Offs: )).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Mickleover won 2.
Mickleover is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Ashton is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Recently Ashton have a series of home games.
In this match Ashton is a favorite.
Last 11 head-to-head matches Mickleover won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 16:21 (average 1.5:1.9).
Including matches at home between the teams Mickleover won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 9:11 (average 1.8:2.2).